NFL: It\'s Too Early, But...
If you listen to my radio show on Sirius 210 and XM 87 each day (Monday-Friday from 5-8 PM EDT), you know my thoughts on talking fantasy football in June (let's just say I think it's premature). Given that fact you're probably wondering why there is a picture of Chris Johnson adorning my article today. I'm all about transparency at BaseballGuys, and one of the ways that I accomplish that is by always being open with you about the teams that I draft (you can find my review of the expert baseball leagues I participated in this year in the Fantasy U section). Therefore, I'm going to take a one day diversion from baseball to break down my FSTA Experts Draft for the NFL that was completed Monday night in San Francisco. I'll return to baseball tomorrow in my mailbag article, and you can always follow me on Twitter for the rest of today for your baseball fix.
Teams: 14 (I had the 7th selection)
Rosters: 1 Quarterback , 2 Running Backs , 3 Wide Receivers , 1 Tight End, 1 Flex Player (RB, WR or TE) , 1 Kicker , 1 Team Defense/Specials Team, (6 reserves)
Passing: 1 point for 30 yards. 3 points for TD. (-1) for fumbles/interceptions.
Rushing: 1 point for 10 yards. 6 points for TD. (-1) for fumble
Receiving (PPR): 1 point for 10 yards. 0.5 points for RB. 1 point for WR/TE. (-1) for fumbles.
The most obvious oddity in this scoring system, and why wouldn't it be odd given that there simply isn't any standardized setup in fantasy football (ugh) is that passers are really devalued here since most leagues award six points for passing touchdowns and all give at least four points. There is also the fact that yardage is dinged too (most leagues are one point per 25 yards with many giving one point for 20 yards). You all know I like to wait on quarterbacks anyway, but this setup just made that easier.
The second point is that runners only get half a point for receptions versus a full point for wide receivers and tight ends.
With that, here are some thoughts from the draft.
Four QBs were taken in the second round which seems a little heavy to me given the scoring system. Tony Romo and Philip Rivers in the 5th round seem like strong values. Peyton Manning went before Eli Manning as well. At this point hasn't the younger brother surpasses the elder statesman?
I love Darren McFadden, and per game he is dynamite, but #5 overall is just too early. I feel the same way about Marshawn Lynch at #9. MJD would be a top-5 selection in every draft if it was clear that he wouldn't be a holdout concern (he slipped to #8 here). Trent Richardson might be a dynamically skilled player but I'm not taking a rookie runner in the first round (#13 overall).
In a PPR setup, seems like there are a strong group of receivers available at the top of the draft. Wait past the middle of the draft though and you start taking a lot of shots on talent that lacks the numbers, or vets with the numbers who may be on the downside of their careers.
Jimmy Graham went off the board one pick after Ron Gronkowski in the second round. After the two elite ends were taken another didn't go for 34 selections.
QB: Jay Cutler, Carson Palmer RB: Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Daniel Thomas, Ryan Williams, Isaiah Pead WR: Brandon Marshall, Jeremy Maclin, Denarius Moore, Titus Young, Alshon Jeffery TE: Jermichael Finley, Martellus Bennett K: Alex Henery DEF: Seattle Seahawks
I waited on quarterbacks an ended up with a solid duo in a 14 team league.
CJ2K and AD. If Peterson is healthy in Week 1, and CJ rebounds just slightly from last year, this duo could lead me to a championship.
I've got Marshall who is a lock for 80 receptions and 1,000, and then it's an uber talented group of four youngsters behind him. I think Maclin has legit top-15 WR potential, and Moore could be the breakout star at WR this year.
It was Vernon Davis or Finley when I drafted my end and I avoided being a homer and chose the Packers tight end who is making all kinds of proclamations that he is going to go off this year.
K/DEF = Oh yeah, we have to roster those two dong we?
FINALLY... for more on the weekend events at the FSTA give a read to my diary of the weekend in How Good AM I & Lil' Kim.
By Ray Flowers
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The co-host of The Drive on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius 210, XM 87: Mon-Fri 7-10 PM EDT), Ray also hosts his own show Sunday night (7-10 PM EDT). Ray has spent years squirreled away studying the inner workings of the fantasy game to the detriment of his personal life. Specializing in baseball, football and hockey, some consider him an expert in all three.
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