From The Fantasy Oracle

Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.19

Ray Flowers takes a look at Saturday the 9th and Sunday the 10th of August to give you some insight into the matchups.

Slide 1 of 2
Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.19 | Slide - 1 FantasyAlarm.com

Weekend number 19 of the MLB season is here. Who have the best and worst matchups? You know I've got your back. No matter how much fantasy football dominates the sports landscape, the Oracle is with you all through the last pitch of the regular season in baseball. 

Note: This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece.   

SATURDAY

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Jose Bautista has hit a homer and driven in three when facing Max Scherzer. He's also socked four doubles to give him a cool .571 batting average in 14 at-bats. 

Nelson Cruz has 12 Ks in 36 at-bats against John Lackey, but he's also hit two bombs, driven in eight, and hit .333. Chris Davis, starting to warm at the dish, has also had success in the matchup. He's got a .906 OPS over 41 plate appearances with two homers and six RBIs. Don't forget three others. Nick Markakis is batting .328 over 64 at-bats, Delmon Young is 7-for-20 (.350) and Manny Machado has hit .389 with two homers in 18 at-bats. 

James Loney has seven hits in 14 at-bats against Edwin Jackson. Not bad at all. 

Lyle Overbay has hit .346 with three big flies and eight RBIs in 26 at-bats when taking on Zack Greinke. Gerardo Parra has hit .333 albeit with just one RBI in 24 at-bats. 

Jhonny Peralta has a .346-1-5 line over 26 at-bats when facing off against Ubaldo Jimenez.

Jimmy Rollins has hit many a hurler throughout his career, but you'd be hard pressed to find someone who he's had more success against than Dillon Gee: 12-for-25 with two homers, five RBIs an a steal. Ryan Howard also annihilates the Mets' hurler with six homers and 14 RBIs... in just 20 at-bats. He's also hit .450 with a 1.876 OPS.

Nick Swisher has six hits in 14 at-bats against Brandon McCarthy. That's good. He's even better than that though. He's gone deep twice with seven RBIs as well.

David Wright has a meaty 76 at-bats against Cole Hamels. He's also excelled with five homers, four steals and 16 RBIs. Left out his impressive slash line: .329/.370/.618. Daniel Murphy has hit .354-1-6 over 48 at-bats. He's also stolen four bases. Eric Young Jr. has hit .345 and he's stolen six bases over 29 plate appearances. Heck, even Juan Lagares has success with a .391 average over 23 at-bats. 

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Jose Altuve has had no success against Yu Darvish. He's produced three hits in 20 at-bats along with six punchouts. Juan Castro is 2-for-15 while Chris Carter is 1-for-14 with eight strikeouts.

Shin-Soo Choo has been a disappointment. He will likely fill that role yet against Saturday as he faces Scott Feldman who has held him to one hit in 17 at-bats. 

Lucas Duda has one hit in 13 at-bats against Cole Hamels. Seven of those at-bats have ended in a punchout. Chris Young has hit .231 with 10 Ks in his 26 at-bats. There there is Travis d'Arnaud who has one hit in 12 at-bats. 

Jeff Francoeur vs. Francisco Liriano: .133 with seven Ks in 15 at-bats. 

Adam Jones doesn't hit John Lackey well. He's struck out 15 times in 51 at-bats and has one walk leading to a .264 OBP. The three homers don't overwhelm that, do they? J.J. Hard has one RBI an a .192 batting average over 26 at-bats. 

Miguel Montero has five Ks an a .143 batting average in 14 at-bats against Jorge De La Rosa

David Murphy has four hits in 17 at-bats. Both Michael Brantley and Mike Aviles both have one hit in 10 at-bats. All of that happens when Brandon McCarthy is on the hill.

A.J. Pierzynski has five hits in 24 at-bats against Ubaldo Jimenez. That's a .208 average. 

Carlos Ruiz has a mere two hits in 16 at-bats against Dillon Gee. Chase Utley is better but it's relative as he's hit .217 with one RBI in 23 at-bats. 

Jayson Werth is a mess against Aaron Harang. He has a .572 OPS over 24 plate appearances. He's also struck out 10 times. 

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Cole Hamels has allowed the current Mets lineup to bat .292 with a .347 OBP and .773 OPS over 319 at-bats. That's pretty damn good – for the Mets. Going back further he has a 4.19 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over 30 starts against the club. Yugly. Still, Hamels' has allowed a total of two runs over his last four outings and one of those was an eight inning, one run affair against the Mets on July 29th. 

Corey Kluber starts. Duh. He faces the Yankees on the road. He has a 2.55 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the road. He's also allowed a total of 13 runs in his last 10 starts. 

John Lackey allowed five runs in 5.1 innings the last time he faced the Orioles but he also walked just one batter and struck out 11 (July 5th). Since that start he's made it through at least six innings in each of his last four outings during which time he's permitted seven runners to cross home plate. The game is in Baltimore. 

Francisco Liriano pitches at home against the Padres. He may have a terrible 4.78 ERA in 10 home start this season but he's facing the Padres, a team that is last in baseball in OPS against lefties at .623. Liriano also has allowed four runs in his last four outings and he's walked a total of seven batters in that time, an impressive rate for the oft wild one. 

Brandon McCarthy allowed one earned in July 9th to the Indians (he did allow four total runs). In his five outings with the Yankees Brandon is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, and he's walked a total of six batters as he refuses to beat himself. 

Tanner Roark versus the Braves... advantage the hurler. In 23 innings against the Brave Roark has a 2.35 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. He also allowed one run to the club in their last matchup on June 22nd. Overlook the five runs he allowed in his last outing. He's still allowed just nine runs his last five tripes to the hill. 

Marcus Stroman allowed five runs while recording nine outs in his last outing, but the previous three trips to the bump he allowed a total of one run as he went seven innings in each outing to earn a “W.” He faces the Tigers at home, not an easy matchup, but Stroman has a 2.82 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 5.63 K/BB ratio in 10 home outings this season. 

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Clay Buchholz is terrible. I keep telling ya, and you keep passing on my advice. Admit it. It's OK. Over his last four starts he's allowed 22 runs in 22 innings. He faces the Angels in Anaheim. 

Dillon Gee has a 7.11 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 12 outings against the Phillies. He has a 4.40 ERA on the road this season. He's allowed 17 runs in his last 22.1 innings. Seeing anything you like there?

Come on mom... they're just pictures.

Ubaldo Jimenez back for his first start since injuring his ankle July 5th. I don't need to break down while he should be benched against the Cardinals, do I?

Jake Odorizzi allowed five runs and only recorded nine outs in his last outing. He's been very consistent the past two months, but he does have a 5.73 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in nine road starts this season. He faces the Cubs in Wrigley and with his last outing being so underwhelming he tilts to avoid in this matchup. 

Alfredo Simon. He's lost his last four outings. Three of those four outings have been five or fewer innings pitched. He's struck out a total of six batters his last three outings. He's likely just wearing down after all the innings. He faces the Marlins at home coming off a terrible start in which he allowed five runs over five innings against the Indians. 

Slide 2 of 2
Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.19 | Slide - 2 FantasyAlarm.com

Bookmark the following four sources to check daily after you read this piece.

DFS PLAYBOOK

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.

 


The 2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide is HERE!! 210 pages of system breakdowns, offensive line breakdowns, injury reports, 30 proven winning strategies and of course over 550 players ranked. Sign up for a new DraftKings account to get the guide, the NFL in-season Assistant GM and all of our daily fantasy football tools for FREE!!!


 

SUNDAY 

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Robinson Cano has six hits in 13 at-bats against the White Sox John Danks. He has a homer and two RBIs as well. 

Freddie Freeman is batting .286 with a .320 OBP versus Gio Gonzalez. Not great of course. But look deeper. In 21 plate appearances he's hit two homers and drive in nine runners. That'll play. 

Austin Jackson lights up John Danks. In 45 at-bats he's been a superstar hitting .400. He's also flashed some pop with three big flies.

Victor Martinez blasts Mark Buehrle back to Triple-A with a .355 batting average, four homers and 15 runs batted in over 76 at-bats. 

Gerardo Parra has nine hits in 25 at-bats against Clayton Kershaw. Yeah, who knew right? He does have seven whiffs and no RBIs. Ryan Braun has three RBIs in the matchup and has hit .304 in his 23 at-bats. 

Anthony Rendon has seven hits, including a homer, in a mere nine at-bats against Alex Wood. Kevin Frandsen has five hits in his 10 at-bats. 

I think this is funny.

Wilin Rosario has hit a homer against Wade Miley. He's also had eight hits. Given that he's come to the plate 16 times that means he's batting .500 in the matchup. Carlos Gonzalez has a homer and is batting .381 in 21 at-bats. 

Danny Valencia is a god against David Price. Not a demi-god, but a full fledged god. He' hit .667 in the matchup, the result of 10 hits in 16 at-bats. That work makes Jose Bautista look like a bum. He's only hit .341 with five homers and 11 RBIs in 44 at-bats. 

David Wright has a .300/.321/.540 slash line over 52 plate appearances against Kyle Kendrick. The OBP could use some work, but the other two numbers are elite. Wright has hit three big flies while driving in seven runs. 

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Adrian Beltre has hit a passable .273 against Dallas Keuchel over 22 at-bats. However, he doesn't have a walk and has driven in only one run. Elvis Andrus has stolen two bases, but his slash line is hideous (.182/.217/.182).

Jason Heyward has three RBIs in 23 at-bats against Gio Gonzalez. He also has a pathetic .217/.250/.261 slash line. 

Torii Hunter isn't very good when facing Mark Buehrle. Can't say we don’t have a large enough sample size here. In 91 at-bats he's hit .242 and he doesn't have a single walk – not one. He does have 16 RBIs if you're into that kinda thing. Miguel Cabrera has hit .276 with no homers in 29 at-bats. 

John Jaso has a .211 batting average and one RBI over 19 at-bats against Phil Hughes. Jed Lowrie is at .083 thank s to one hit in 12 at-bats. Jonny Gomes has one hit in nine at-bats. Eric Sogard has no hits in eight at-bats. Then there is Josh Reddick who has been incredibly hot of late. He has two hits in 13 at-bats.

Woof. Raul Ibanez has one hit in 16 at-bats against Tim Lincecum

Adam LaRoche has one hit in 11 at-bats facing Alex Wood. He's also whiffed six times. Ian Desmond has three strikeouts and one hit in his 10 at-bats. 

Jonathan Lucroy has no hits in 10 at-bats against Clayton Kershaw. At least he has only one whiff. 

Kendrys Morales has three hits, and one measly RBI, in 15 at-bats against John Danks. Incredibly hot Dustin Ackley has eight hitless at-bats. 

Daniel Murphy, hello again, has a .250 batting average in 36 at-bats against Kyle Kendrick. Chris Young is at .167 over 24 at-bats while Curtis Granderson has one hit in 11 at-bats. 

David Murphy, hello again, has two hits in 15 at-bats against Hiroki Kuroda.

Will Venable is 0-for-9 against Charlie Morton.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Alex Cobb faces the Cubs in Wrigley. Cobb has a 3.42 ERA a 1.23 WHIP in nine road starts this season, and he's been particularly sharp during day games with a 2.43 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over six outings. He's also allowed a total of seven runs over his last four starts. 

Danny Duffy takes on the Giants in Kansas City, and the Giants are 19th ranked team in OPS against lefties this season. Duffy has been rather amazing this season, especially of late. Check this out. Over his last eight starts he's allowed more than one earned run... once. Read that again. He may only have one win in six starts, but it's hardly his fault. 

Lance Lynn has a 2.89 ERA on the year. Over his last six starts guess what? Six quality starts. They aren't cheapies either. He's allowed two or fewer runs in each outing and over his last three trips to the bump it's been one unearned run per outing. He pitches at home against the Orioles. 

David Price dominates, doesn't matte what the jersey says. In 24 starts the man has walked 23 batters. Ponder that for a moment. He also has 199 Ks in 179.1 innings. He faces the Jays on the road. This season he has a 2.77 ERA on the road an a 0.96 WHIP. For his career he has gone 15-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.04 WHIP against the Jays. 

Tyson Ross faces the Pirates in Pittsburgh. He's better at home, but he's still in possession of a passable 3.53 ERA on the road. He's also given the Padres at least six innings in each of his last nine starts, has won three straight decisions, and the last time he allowed more than two earned runs in an outing was back on June 16th, 10 starts ago.

Zack Wheeler takes the hill against the Phillies at home. He allowed two runs against the Phillies over 6.2 innings on July 30th to run his career record against them to 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.15 WHIP (four starts). Wheeler has allowed a total of eight earned runs over his last seven outings. 

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Mark Buehrle last went 6.1 innings in an outing on June 29th, seven starts ago. He's allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four outings and over his last three trips to the mound he's been battered for 25 hits while striking out seven men in 13.2 innings. He's also been taken deep four times. He faces the Tigers and the last time that matchup occurred he lasted 4.1 innings allowing five earned runs (six total). 

Rubby De La Rosa pitches on the road against the Angels, and he's got a 5.08 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in five road starts this season (no wins). RDLR also has a total of seven strikeouts in his last four games and 10 over his last five. That doesn't play in any league, does it? The Angels are also 10th in baseball in OPS against righties. 

Dallas Keuchel faces the Rangers, a club that mashes lefties as they are 4th in baseball in OPS against southpaws. The last time he faced the Rangers on July 9th he allowed four runs with only three strikeouts over 6.2 innings.   This one is more about the matchup than anything. DK has turned the ship around excellently of late allowing two earned runs over his last three starts. 

It's not that Hiroki Kuroda is a bad start, it's just that he's a boring start. He's allowed three, three and four runs his last three outings. He's allowed three homers in those games. He's posted a 4.06 ERA at home this season where he faces the Indians. The last time he faced the Indians he allowed three runs in 5.1 innings. Stable but boring. 

Tim Lincecum has been much better of late. Over the last 8 starts: 4-2, 3.14 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 8.2 K/9, 2.9 K/BB. I'd try to hold. At the same time his last three outings have been rough to say the least as he's allowed 14 runs in 13.2 innings. He's the sad owner of a 5.33 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the road this season, so starting him in Kansas City this weekend is gonna be rough.


Make sure you tune in to the Drive at 7 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87), to hear Ray Flowers pontificate about the world of sports. 


COMMENTS

Leave a Comment