As my last official duty before I take a hard earned week off to lay on a beach, I thought I
d ride off into the sunset with a weekend edition of Daily Trends where I give insight on the best and worst matchups of the coming weekend.
* NOTE II: I will be away next week with the family in Hawaii. It will be my first true family vacation in, jeez, I'm gonna say 17 years. As a result, the Daily Trends piece will not be available from July 21-July 28th. I will pick things right back up on the 29th. Therefore, make sure to visit the DFS PLAYBOOK each day.
DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
Jose Bautista faces Colby Lewis who was blasted into submission in his last outing. Bautista has also hit .364 with two homers off Lewis in 11 at-bats.
Miguel Cabrera versus Corey Kluber, one would think, might be a pretty fair battle. It's simply not. Miggy has hit three homers with seven RBIs over 24 at-bats. He's also batting .500. Victor Martinez is only hitting .471 with two homers in his 17 at-bats.
DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day
Freddie Freeman has 13 Ks in 36 at-bats against Cole Hamels. He's also hitting just .250 with a .289 OBP. Jason Heyward also struggles with a .241 batting average, eight strikeouts and no RBIs in 29 at-bats. But oh B.J. Upton... he's hitless in 14 at-bats.
Austin Jackson has 14 at-bats against rolling righty Corey Kluber. He has but two hits. Torii Hunter has three hits in his 17 at-bats (.188) and that's better than the .176 mark that Alex Avila has in his 17 at-bats.
Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton suck wind against Felix Hernandez. In 33 at-bats Pujols has hit .212 with a .212 OBP over 33 plate appearances. Hamilton is worse at .175 in the average category and he's struck out 21 times in 63 at-bats – that's a third of them.
Carlos Santana is but one of many Indians batters who have the hardest time with Max Scherzer. Just take a look at the list of failure. Santana has three hits in 34 at-bats. That's a .088 average folks. Jason Kipnis has a .185 batting average and nine punchouts in 27 at-bats. Lonnie Chisenhall has a .217 batting average and .217 OBP in 23 plate appearances. David Murphy has 27 plate appearances of blah (.269/.286/.346). Finally, Asdrubal Cabrera has hit .267 with a .313 OBP and 15 Ks, fully a third of his 45 at-bats. Oh hell. Chris Dickerson has seven strikeouts in nine hitless at-bats.
MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target
Danny Duffy faces the Red Sox who rank 16th in OPS against lefties and are just 20th in home OPS. Duffy has been nails in 50 innings on the road this year with a 2.34 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and he's held batters to a .211 batting average.
Gio Gonzalez tossed six innings of shutout ball against the Brewers on June 23rd to start a stretch of four starts in which he allowed a total of four runs (three earned). He faces the Brewers against Saturday and in six starts at home this year he's posted a 3.18 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 mark.
Zack Greinke. Duh. He faces the Cardinals in St. Louis. The last time they faced off, about three weeks ago, he struck out 10 and allowed one run over seven innings. He's also allowed a total of five earned runs his last three starts, each of which has gone at least seven seven innings. In 11 road starts this season he has a 2.73 ERA.
Corey Kluber is better at home than on the road (3.00 ERA, 1.35 WHIP), and he faces a stout Tigers club. Still, Kluber held the Tigers to two runs over seven innings back on June 22nd and five of his last six outings overall he's allowed two or fewer runs. Over his last five outings he's also walked just six batters. I like that, a lot.
Wade Miley, I wrote about in Buy Low Targets. He faces the Cubs Saturday and he's held the current roster to a .227 average and .311 OBP over 66 at-bats. The group has also taken him deep only one time.
Marcus Stroman faces the Rangers in Toronto Saturday. He didn't look good at all in his last start allowing six runs (5 ER) over 3.2 innings. At the same time he had allowed a total of five runs his previous four starts, and over 37 innings at home he's sporting a 1.16 WHIP.
MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid
Matt Garza has been a confounding play this season. He's got a decent 3.69 ERA, that number has come down more than a run over his last eight starts, and his 1.18 WHIP is solid. At the same time he's got a 4.50 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in eight road starts and he's also saddled with a mere 1.60 K/BB ratio. He faces the Nationals in Washington, a team that he had success against last time out but has still struggled with mightily over his career (5.74 ERA, 1.54 WHIP over five starts).
Joe Kelly has only four starts on the year. The last time out, his first start in two months, the Brewers got to him for six runs as he recorded only nine outs. The guy has a 1.38 WHIP for his career and his 5.99 K/9 ratio is craptastic. Sit him against the Dodgers.
Archer. Seen it? If not, watch this and you will want to see the best comedy on television.
Dallas Keuchel takes on the White Sox in Chi-town. I think Dallas' wrist might be a bigger issue than the club is letting on. Regardless, whether it's injury or simple regression, the fact is that the guy has stunk of late. Over his last four starts he's allowed 17 earned runs to move his ERA from 2.38 to 3.20. Over those 24.2 innings he's also allowed 10 walks and permitted 36 hits. Gulp is right. Can't start him right now.
Colby Lewis... ha. He gave up 13 runs, 11 earned, in his last start. Go ahead and start him in Toronto if you have a death wish.
Travis Wood has made 19 starts and owns a 4.96 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. An early season strikeout leader, Wood has failed to strike out five batters in four of his last five outings. He also last won a game on June 15th, more than a month ago. He pitches in Arizona against the D'backs.