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Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.15

Ray Flowers. Matchups. Data. It all is here to help you to set your lineups over the weekend. Ray breaks down the BVP data for Saturday and Sunday.

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I'm ready for the weekend. I need a break. My mind is full of numbers – football and baseball. Maybe I just need a bunch of hooch. Yeah, that's the ticket. Poor little Ray... working in fantasy sports. Suck it up punk. That what you're thinking? If you are you wouldn't be wrong – at all. I'm just complaining, well, cause I'm obnoxious like that. Here are the matchups for Saturday and Sunday. Had to finish them before heading out to the backyard to work on my tan which is currently approaching savage on the tan-o-meter.

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
Jose Bautista has a .341/.429/.756 slash line against David Price in 47 plate appearances. Ted Williams would be proud of that. Bautista has blasted five big flies and driven in 11 runs. Wow. 

Billy Butler has hit .311 with a homer and seven RBIs against Rick Porcello. Eric Hosmer has hit .313 with two homers. 

Miguel Cabrera is batting .404 with two homers and eight RBIs against James Shields (47 ABs). Austin Jackson is batting .317 over 32 at-bats. Torii Hunter is at .321 over 53 at-bats. Amazingly he has but one RBI.

Shin-Soo Choo has hit .412 in 34 at-bats against Jered Weaver. Shortstop Elvis Andrus has hit .333 with two homers and three steals over 69 at-bats. 

Freddie Freeman goes nutso against Edwin Jackson. He's hit .500 with two homers in 14 at-bats. Justin Upton has also blasted away batting .545 with a homer in his 11 at-bats. 

Scott Hairston murder Cole Hamels. It's crazy. In 38 at-bats he's hit five doubles, has five homers, and driven in 10 runners and owns a 1.360 OPS.

Aaron Hill gets psyched when he sees Ryan Vogelsong on the bump. Hill has 11 hits in 22 at-bats. He has a homer and five RBIs as well. 

Buster Posey hasn't done much of late. Still, history says success could be coming Saturday as he has hit .529 with a homer and five RBIs against Wade Miley (17 at-bats).

Aramis Ramirez treats Adam Wainwright like he was Jamie Garcia. In 47 at-bats he's hit .404 with two homers, seven doubles, and six RBIs against the Cardinals' ace. 

Justin Ruggiano has warmed of late and he's hit .350 against Mike Minor in 20 at-bats. He's also gone deep twice, knocked in six and stolen a bag. 

Neil Walker has hit .333 with 11 RBIs in 33 at-bats against Mike Leake

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Adrian Beltre is a force. He's a mystery performer against Jered Weaver. In 74 career at-bats, a large sample size, he's hit .216 with a .231 OBP and .311 SLG. Alex Rios is batting .185 with one homer, two steals an a .5678 OPS over 29 plate appearances. 

Ryan Braun meet unmitigated disaster – i.e. Adam Wainwright. In 54 plate appearances Braun ha a .173/.228/.327 slash line. Rickie Weeks is even worse in his 46 plate appearances (.163/.234/.256).

Starlin Castro has three hits in 15 at-bats against Mike Minor (.200). He hasn't drive in any runners. 

Lucas Duda has two hits in 14 at-bats against Tom Koehler. Daniel Murphy is batting .263 in 19 at-bats. 

We should all be drinking Fireball, that cinnamon whiskey. Here's why.

Alcides Escobar might as well ask to be benched. He never hits Rick Porcello (1-for-23).

Paul Goldschmidt should hammer Ryan Vogelsong. He doesn't. Through 21 at-bats he has nary a homer and is batting .238 with seven strikeouts. 

Kelly Johnson has one RBI and four steals over 40 plate appearances against Ubaldo Jimenez. He's also just hit .235. Has drawn 10 walks leading to a .409 OBP though. Mark Teixeira is just a mess against Ubaldo. He's struck out eight times and hit .105 over 19 at-bats. 

Ian Kinsler is no bueno against James Shields. In 42 at-bats he's hit .190 with no steals. Does have two solo homers though. Rajai Davis has two hit, no steals, in 16 at-bats. 

Hunter Pence has an unhealthy seven strikeouts in 15 at-bats against Wade Miley. He's also hit .133. Brandon Crawford has hit .182 in his 11 at-bats. 

Alexei Ramirez is on this list every day at this point, isn't he? He's hitting .222 over 18 at-bats against Zach McAllister. Paul Konerko is 3-for-18 while Adam Dunn (2-for-16 with 10 Ks) and Dayan Viciedo (2-for-13) also struggle.

Colby Rasmus has hit .182 with no RBIs in 22 at-bats against David Price. Nolan Reimold is at .174/.231/.304 over 25 plate appearances. 

Jimmy Rollins is a complete disaster against Stephen Strasburg. Like a hen running around in a lions cage trying to escape without being eaten. He has 11 strikeouts in 24 at-bats and has hit .082. Chase Utley is also terrible at .125 over 16 at-bats. 

It's not like I would every bench Troy Tulowitzki at home, or when Kevin Correia is on the bump, but in 26 at-bats Tulo has hit only .231 with a .519 OPS against the righty. 

Dan Uggla is 1-for-15 against Edwin Jackson. Doesn't matter. He doesn't play anyways. 

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Cole Hamels dominates the Nationals. In 28 career starts he has a 2.58 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with 190 Ks in 184.2 innings. The last time he allowed more than three earned runs in a start this year was May 27th. He's allowed three homers in eight starts and has dropped his ERA from 4.43 to 2.87 over those  outings. 

Hisashi Iwakuma... how do you bench him at this point? In eight road starts this season he owns a 2.93 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. In seven outings against the A's he has a 1.09 WHIP though his ERA is elevated at 4.35. Iwakuma hasn't faced the A's this season, but he's allowed just one run in his last two starts while he struck out 17 and walked none (he's issued just two walks his last five starts). 

Wade Miley faces a Giants club that is in a tailspin. The last two weeks the team has hit .199 and that is downright pitiful. Miley has allowed just three runs with 18 Ks and one walk over his last two starts. 

"Huge Trove Of Dinosaur Footprints Discovered In National Park."

Mike Minor pitches in Wrigley. The homers are a certain concerns, he's allowed a whopping eight in his last six starts, but he's also traditionally pitched well against the Cubs (3.56 ERA, 1.12 WHIP over five stats, all of which ended up with Minor getting the “W”).

Charlie Morton has a 3.88 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the road this season. Those numbers are 2.55 and 1.19 in 12 night starts this season. He pitches in Cincinnati against he Reds. For more on Morton see his Player Profile.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Drew Hutchison has been nails on the road. In 11 road starts he owns a 2.43 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Unfortunately hes made two starts this year against the Rays and though he's won both games the results aren't very impressive: 4.35 ERA, 1.65 WHIP, 0.57 K/BB ratio. Not exactly heartwarming. 

Ian Kennedy pitches in Los Angeles. The last time he faced the Dodgers he gave up five runs, four earned, on June 20th. The Dodgers are also 4th in baseball in OPS against righties so it won't be easy for Kennedy to improve upon his previous effort. 

Mike Leake faces the Pirates, a club that is 11th in baseball in OPS against righties. The game will be Cincinnati. Leake has allowed 20 hits in his last two starts and has permitted a homer in 5-straight (seven homers his last seven starts). The last time he faced the Pirates he allowed four runs over seven innings while striking out two. 

Jake Peavy has been better of late, much better actually, allowing three runs over two starts. Still, he's got a 6.00 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in eight road starts and the last time he faced the Astros he allowed four runs while striking out two batters over six innings. His last win, his only win of 2014? That was on April 25th. 

Rick Porcello has been really good this year. However, he was bombed for seven runs in his last outing, and the guy has two strikeouts over his last two starts (14.2 IP). He also had a 4.41 career ERA in 16 outings against the Royals who are batting a robust .285 the past two weeks. 

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Don't forget to bookmark the following three sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
Billy Butler terrorizes Justin Verlander. He must give him nightmares. In 76 at-bats the portly DH has hit .434 with two homers and 14 RBIs. Shocking really. Salvador Perez is doing his best to be a boogeyman too hitting .467-1-10 over 30 at-bats. 

Miguel Cabrera has a .410-5-11 line over 39 at-bats against Bruce Chen. That's a 1.428 OPS folks. Austin Jackson is batting .325 with a homer over 40at-bats. 

Adriana Lima – just cause. You will thank me. 

James Loney is 6-for-12 against J.A. Happ

Ryan Raburn is at his lefty smashing best when John Danks is on the bump. In 39 at-bats he's hit .359 with three homers and 11 RBIs.

Ryan Zimmerman has two homers, five RBIs an a 1.067 OPS over 52 plate appearances against Kyle Kendrick. Bryce Harper also has success hitting .391 with a 1.201 OPS over 26 plate appearances. Wilson Ramos only has 11 at-bats but he's hit .545. And then there is Ian Desmond. He's hit two homers, driven in eight and batted .305 over 37 at-bats. 

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Jay Bruce with a goose-egg against Francisco Liriano? Yep, and it covers 14 at-bats (six strikeouts). 

Bruce Chen is terrible, but it's still tough to trust J.D. Martinez against him. JDM has hit .200 against lefties this season with 17 strikeouts in 55 at-bats. 

Alcides Escobar has stolen three bases against Justin Verlander but he's also hit .208 in 48 at-bats. Raul Ibanez has three hits in 29 at-bats. Eric Hosmer is batting .245 over 49 at-bats. 

Paul Goldschmidt has hit a mere .227 with one homer in 22 at-bats against the struggling Madison Bumgarner. Martin Prado is worse at .192 over 26 at-bats. Miguel Montero is worser (made up) at .188 over 32 at-bats. The worstest (made up two) is Gerardo Parra at .133 in 15 at-bats. 

Adam LaRoche doesn't hit very well against Kyle Kendrick. In 35 at-bats he has a homer, three RBIs an a .171 batting average. Danny Espinosa is at .190 over 21 at-abts. Can Espy hit anyone at this point?

Good for you Zooey Deschanel.

Justin Morneau has but two hits in 16 at-bats against Phil Hughes. Both hits were solo homers at least. 

Neil Walker doesn't hit Johnny Cueto. He's at .171 over 35 at-bats. Pedro Alvarez doesn't hit him either. He's at .179 with a sickly RBI. Travis Snider is 1-for-14.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Johnny Cueto always starts no matter the opponent. Current Pirates batters:  .193/.263/.298 over 250 plate appearances. 

Sonny Gray tossed seven innings of one run ball the last time he faced the Mariners. He's allowed two runs in his last two starts (14 innings). He's allowed one big fly over five outings. Gray also has a 2.91 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in seven road starts this season. 

Hyun-jin Ryu pitches at home against the Padres, the worst hitting team in baseball. Historically bad they are. Ryu allowed seven runs in his last outing but it was an anomaly. He allowed seven runs in his previous four outings. 

Tyler Skaggs faced the Rangers on May 4th and it was brutal (2.2 IP, 6 R, 3 BBs). However he's tossed back-to-back quality starts since returning from the DL as he's issued only one free pass. He's also working on a 2.96 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven road starts where he's pitched much better than at home. Risky, but might be worth a look. 

Julio Teheran should rebound from his rough last outing. The last time he faced the Cubs he allowed one run over eight innings, and the guy owns a 2.57 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 3.93 K/BB ratio on the year. Only once in his last five starts has he allowed more than three earned runs. Another blow up is extremely unlikely. 

Chris Tillman has stabilized after some rough outings. In fact, his ERA has gone from 5.20 to 4.11 over his last six outings. He's long been hammered by the Yankees (5.83 ERA, 1.72 WHIP over 11 starts) but when he faced them on June 22nd he tossed seven scoreless innings. He's also the owner of a 2.74 ERA at home this season in eight starts, even though that's led to just one victory. 

Until further notice just start Chris Young. I can't explain it. No one can. He just is. The Athletics come to Seattle with Young having allowed a total of six runs over his last five starts. He has a 2.24 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in nine home starts this season. 

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Brett Anderson at home against the Twins. Do I need to explain anything?

Clay Buchholz ...I just don’t like the guy. Over his last three starts since he's returned from injury he has allowed one walk but there have also been five big flies and he's allowed nine runs meaning he's permitted at least four earned runs in four of his last five outings. The Astros are 26th in OPS against righties but I just cannot recommend CB at the moment.

Madison Bumgarner has held the D'backs current roster to a .227/.281/.370 line over 226 plate appearances. However, he's allowed at least four runs in each of his last three starts, all loses, and he has been saddled with a 5.16 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over nine home starts this season. 

Phil Hughes in Colorado just doesn't sound good to me. Does it to you? Yes Hughes has allowed just nine homers in 18 starts, and he rebounded in his last start to toss 7.1 scoreless innings. Still, he's a fly ball hurler who is taking on a team that has an .872 OPS at home this season. Perspective. Carlos Gomez has a .871 OP this season. The Rockies teams is better than that at home.

Wily Peralta tossed six innings of one run ball at the Cardinals in the last matchup, but five career starts have led to a 6.26 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. He's also allowed 17 runs over his last 16.1 innings, and he's also the owner of a less than impressive 4.69 ERA in nine home starts this season. 

Tyson Ross has a big fan in Ray Flowers. Still, he pitches on the road against the Dodgers. Two things. The Dodgers are 4th in baseball in OPS against righties. Second, Ross has a 4.05 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in nine road starts this season. He's a different pitcher away from Petco. 

Justin Verlander. You know my chorus by this point. At least I hope you do. In his last two starts, both wins, Verlander has eight strikeouts and has allowed three homers and seven runs. Toss in a 5.01 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in nine road starts and he's a big old risk pitching in Kansas City.

Travis Wood at Wrigley versus the Braves. Wood has a 3.08 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in eight home starts this season. He's also allowed three or fewer earned sun in seven straight outings. However, three of his last four outings he's failed to go 5.1 innings, and his ERA over his last four starts is 5.31 and he's walked 14 batters in 20.1 innings. He's just not sharp right now.  

Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups. 


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