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Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.13

The Oracle takes a look at the batter versus pitcher matchups for Saturday June 28th and Sunday June 29th.

Slide 1 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.13 | Slide - 1 FantasyAlarm.com

I've been answering questions all day Friday. Jeff Mans and I held the weekly Live Chat (Fridays at 2 PM EDT). I wrote an article about daily fantasy baseball and our partnership with DraftKings. Now I'm pounding the keys looking for the best daily matchups for Saturday and Sunday at the end of Week 13 of the MLB season. 

Note: This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece.   

SATURDAY


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Ian Desmond is batting .500-1-3 over 16 at-bats against Jeff Samardzija. Adam LaRoche is at .333 with two homers in 15 at-bats. 

Mark Ellis is playing with the shoulder issues that Kolten Wong is dealing with. In 22 at-bats against Zack Greinke, Ellis has hit .318 with four RBIs. He's also stolen a bag. John Jay is at .375 in 16 at-bats. Matt Holliday is batting .300 with two homers in 20 at-bats. 

Adam Jones has gone 6-for-13 against Erik Bedard. Nick Markakis is 5-for-12. 

Martin Prado is batting .375 with a homer and five RBIs over 24 at-bats. 

Aramis Ramirez has hit very well since returning to action for the Brewers. He's also long been successful against Jhoulys Chacin with six hits, including a homer, in 15 at-bats (.400). 

Alex Rios sees a batting machine when Phil Hughes is on the hill. In 27 at-bats he's hit .481 with a homer and five RBIs. Also stolen two bases for good measure. Carlos Pena is recently signed by the Rangers, but he's had success against Hughes as well batting .333 with three homers in 15 at-bats. 

Ichiro Suzuki is batting .340 over 53 at-bats against Jon Lester. Derek Jeter is batting .338 over 68 at-bats. Can those two aging vets summon the past to help in the present?

B.J. Upton has three hits in 15 at-bats against Roberto Hernandez. He's stolen five bases so if he gets on base he's a good bet to take off runnin'. 

Ben Zobrist has had success against Wei-Yin Chen. In 28 at-bats he's hit .357 with a homer and three RBIs. His OPS is strong too at .900.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Marlon Byrd has six hits and 10 strikeouts in 33 at-bats against Ervin Santana. That's a .182 batting average. Jimmy Rollins has four Ks and just one hit in his nine at-bats. 

Jason Castro has no hits while whiffing five times over six at-bats against Max Scherzer. Chris Carter is 0-for-6, Jose Altuve is 0-for-7 and Matt Dominguez is 1-for-9. 

Shin-Soo Choo has had a disappointing season thus far, and he's long had woes when trying to hit Phil Hughes. He has one single and one walk over 12 plate appearances. Elvis Andrus also blows chunks with two hits in 16 at-bats. 

Paul Goldschmidt is having a great season. He's also a hitting a mere .211 over 19 career at-bats against Eric Stults. Aaron Hill is batting .214 over 14 at-bats. Cody Ross is .176 over 17 at-bats and Gerardo Parra is batting .136 over 22 at-bats. 

Josh Harrison (6 ABs), Neil Walker (8 ABs) and Russell Martin (10 ABs) each have a single hit against Jonathon Niese

Desmond Jennings is one of a few Rays who don't exactly beat up on Wei-Yin Chen. In 23 at-bats the supposed offensive force has hit .174 with no runs batted in. Sean Rodriguez has a homer but he's also batting .118 over 17 at-bats. Even Longoria is batting .235 with one RBI in his 17 at-bats. 

Kelly Johnson has one hit in 15 at-bats against Jon Lester. Brian Roberts is at .235 over 51 at-bats. That's still better than Mark Teixeira who is sitting at .235 with 18 punchouts in 47 at-bats. 

Ryan Ludwick hammers the struggling Matt Cain. He's hit .364 with three homers and six RBIs over 22 at-bats. Jay Bruce, final warming, is batting .462 with four RBIs in 13 at-bats vs. Cain. 

Kendrys Morales has been mostly a bore for the Twins since he returned to action. Yu Darvish should continue those moderate efforts of Morales given that Kendrys has hit .136 with nine Ks in 22 at-bats. 

Jhonny Peralta hasn't had success against Zack Greinke – not a big surprise. He's hit .234 with a .606 OPS over 53 plate appearances. 

Rickie Weeks has two hits in 14 at-bats against Jhoulys Chacin. Mark Reynolds is 0-for-10 with four Ks while Ryan Braun is 0-for-8 with five Ks. 

Delmon Young has hit .095 with eight strikeouts over 21 at-bats against Erik Bedard. J.J. Hardy is 1-for-10. 

Ryan Zimmerman is flat out awful against Jeff Samardzija. That's right, I said it. When you have one hit in 16 at-bats you deserve it. Jayson Werth is 3-for-17 with a homer in the matchup.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target


Phil Hughes, and I'm still not buying it, continues to roll. He has one walk in four outings. He's struck out 32 batters in 34 innings in June. He's got a 1.03 WHIP for the month. He's the owner of a 2.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over seven outings against the Rangers (38.2 innings). Guess you trust him for now.

Jonathon Niese has a 2.78 ERA and in 15 starts he's yet to allow more than three earned runs in a game. He held the Pirates to two runs over 5.2 innings back on May 27th and he's also pitched very well on the road this season (2.92 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 3.40 K/BB).

Chris Sale starts in Toronto. Duh. He has a 0.86 WHIP over 11 starts. 

Alex Gordon is 1-for-9 against Hector Santiago. Mike Moustakas is 0-for-9. Billy Butler  is 1-for-7. Salvador Perez is 1-for-2. Alcides Escobar is 2-for-9. Given all of that, and the overall line of the Royals against Santiago (.188/.296/.261 over 69 ABs) it's hard not to give the struggling hurler some consideration Saturday.

Yordano Ventura faces the Angels at home Saturday. The Angels are middle of the pack in Ks versus righties, and they are top third in OPS. Ventura though has last seven innings his last three outings. He's also walked just four batters in that time. He's been beaten for a big fly just once in five outings. He's also tossed a quality start in 4-straight. 

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Erik Bedard has a 6.30 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over seven starts against the Orioles. He's made five starts on the road this year and has a 1.57 WHIP and .297 BAA. His last three outings he's failed to average even five innings and four times in his last six outings he's failed to last five frames. Can't get a win doing that. 

Yu Darvish has a 2.12 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in seven home starts. He faces the Twins in Texas. Sounds like a good matchup to exploit. However, Darvish has lost his last two outings while allowing 12 runs (only eight have been earned so some haven't noticed how off he's been). He's also walked nine batters over the 11 innings. You fully confident that his neck is OK?

Gio Gonzalez faces the Cubs who are batting .265 with a .747 OPS, the 8th best mark in baseball against lefties. The game takes place in Chicago and in six road starts this year Gio has a mere 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Wrapped around his injury he's also failed to record 16 outs in three of his last four outings. 

Ervin Santana has lost three straight decisions. He's allowed 21 hits and six walks over 18.1 innings. The result is a 1.47 WHIP. He's also allowed 12 runs. The result is a 5.89 ERA. He's allowed three homers in the three outings. He's also allowed 15 homers in eight starts on the road. He faces the Phillies in Philly. 

Marcus Stroman has an elevated 4.25 ERA but that number has come down in 5-straight starts. Four of those five starts have been “quality” and he's allowed a mere six walks in that time. The White Sox are 9th in baseball in OPS against righties, and his upside is limited in the win column given that he's set to face Chris Sale

Slide 2 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.13 | Slide - 2 FantasyAlarm.com

Be sure to bookmark the following three sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Michael Brantley is batting .400 with a homer and six RBIs against Felix Hernandez. That's good work. What about Jason Kipnis? He's got six hits in 14 at-bats, good for a .429 average. And then there is the case of David Murphy. He's “only” batting .320 but he's done that over 75 at-bats. He's also gone deep three times leading to an overall mark of 16 runs batted in. Impressive. Don't forget Mike Aviles. He's hit .412 in 17 at-bats. 

Ryan Braun is pretty much a mess right now, but he flipping demolished Jorge De La Rosa with extreme prejudice. This is astounding work. In 11 at-bats he has eight hits. That's a .727 average. He's also walked three times leading to a .786 OBP. He hit two homers leading to a 1.545 SLG. He's also driven in nine runs and stolen two bases for fun. Holy moly. 

Miguel Cabrera must salivate at the thought of Scott Feldman throwing up meatballs for him to mash. In 13 at-bats he's hit two big flies with five RBIs. The best number though is the nine hits that leads to an obnoxious .692 batting average. Torii Hunter also has nine hits and five RBIs though it's taken him 21 at-bats to get there. He's only hitting .429. 

Josh Hamilton say hello to a .321 average, 1.228 OPS and four bombs over 32 plate appearances when Jeremy Guthrie is on the bump. 

Matt Holliday has hit .300 with one RBIs over 30 at-bats against Clayton Kershaw. He's also walked 10 times on his way to a .475 OBP. Wow. 

Ryan Howard has socked up, a scientific statement if there ever was one, Aaron Harang to the tune of a .375/.483/.833 slash line that includes three bombs, eight runs batted in and five walks. Chase Utley isn't too far behind. In his 26 at-bats he's hit .462 with a homer and six RBIs. Marlon Byrd hasn't been as big a basher but he does have seven hits in 17 at-bats. He's gone a bomb and four RBIs.

Desmond Jennings is hitting only .273 over 22 at-bats against Miguel Gonzalez, but he's hit four homers, drive in seven runs and posted a 1.211 OPS. 

Mark Teixeira has hit .300 with two homers and 13 RBIs against John Lackey. Ichiro has hit .292 with a homer and 11 steals. The duo has faced off over 119 plate appearances.

Josh Willingham has hit three bombs with five RBIs an a .316 batting average over 19 at-bats against Colby Lewis

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Erick Aybar hasn't had success of any kind against Jeremy Guthrie. Pretty safe to say that when you note that he has a .351... not average... not OBP... not SLG... but a .351 OPS over 28 plate appearances. 

Asdrubal Cabrera has hit .176 in 17 at-bats against King Feliz. Carlos Santana is 3-for-14. Nick Swisher is the worst at .216 with a .298 OBP over 57 plate appearances. He's somehow hit four homers. 

Alcides Escobar has one hit in 11 at-bats against C.J. Wilson

Adam Jones has three hits and one RBI in 16 at-bats against Alex Cobb. Manny Machado has a goose egg, no hits in 13 at-bats. Nelson Cruz has one hit in nine at-bats. 

Justin Morneau has produced six hits in 10 at-bats against Yovani Gallardo. Troy Tulowitzki is batting .429 with a homer and four RBIs over 21 at-bats. 

Brandon Phillips is aging, and slightly boring. He's just blah against Tim Hudson with a .442 OPS over 25 plate appearances. 

Mark Reynolds has a .458 OBP versus Jorge De La Rosa over 24 plate appearances. 'But Ray, why do you list him in the bad column then?' Good question astute reader. This is why. He has one RBI and eight Ks in his 16 at-bats leading to a .188 batting average. 

Pablo Sandoval is batting .188 with five Ks in 16 at-bats against Homer Bailey. Buster Posey has one hit in 11 at-bats. 

Alfonso Soriano has a homer and two RBIs in 43 at-bats against John Lackey. He's also batting .186. Yuck. 

Kurt Suzuki has hit two homers against Colby Lewis but he's also struck out six times with only two hits in his other 24 at-bats. 

Chris Young has a homer against Edinson Volquez but he also has hit .133 with seven punchouts in 15 at-bats. David Wright, who has struggled for a good portion of the first half, has a .448 OPS over 16 plate appearances. Shameful. 

Ben Zobrist has three hits and one RBI over 24 at-bats against Miguel Gonzalez. That's led to a .389 OPS. James Loney has a .610 OPS in 19 plate appearances. Yunel Escobar has a .581 OPS over 21 plate appearances. 

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Alex Cobb has been all over the place since his return (seven starts). In three starts he's allowed at least six earned runs. In the other four outings he's let a total of four runs cross the plate. One of those strong efforts was against the Orioles (7 IP, 1 run which was unearned). For his carer Cobb owns the Orioles (1.36 ERA, 1.06 WHIP over five starts).


Bartolo Colon has a 3.67 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. His ERA has come down, get this, in 7-straight starts. He's won his last six decisions coming in his last seven starts. He's allowed two or fewer runs in each outing and a total of nine earned runs in his last seven starts. The Pirate will give it a shot (Colon tossed 7.1 scoreless against the Pirates on May 28th). 

Yovani Gallardo faces the Rockies in Milwaukee. In his last four starts Gallardo has permitted a total of three runners to cross home plate. There hasn't been a single big fly. He's walked only five batters. He's averaged just under seven innings per outing. He's pretty well locked in. 

Jeremy Guthrie has allowed a total of five runs over his last three outings. He's permitted one big fly in four games. He's won each of his last three outings. His 3.75 ERA on the year is solid. He pitches at home where he has a 3.48 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over eight trips to the hill. He's also facing an Angels club that he has a 1.03 WHIP against over 80.2 innings. 

Drew Smyly is in Houston to take on the Astros who rank 11th in OPS against lefties. Smyly has permitted a total of four runs over his last four starts and he's last at least six innings each of his last four outings. If the Tigers would just leave him in the starting lineup and let him go...

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Homer Bailey has a 5.47 ERA and 1.55 WHIP on the road this year (nine starts). He's failed to last six innings in both of his last two starts. Over his last three outings his ERA has gone from 4.60 to 4.80. The Giants are actually a little better than you would think offensively sitting 14th in OPS against righties. 

Mark Buehrle has a 1.42 WHIP in eight home starts this year. Over his last four starts he's allowed five homers. He's let 11 runners cross home plate over his last 19 innings. All good things must come to an end eventually, right? After all his ERA has gone from 2.04 to 2.52 over his last four starts. His former team, the White Sox, have a mere .675 OPS against lefties, 23rd in baseball.

Kyle Gibson might be the most annoying own in fantasy baseball. Over his last six outings he's shut out the opponent four times. The other two outings he allowed 11 runs in eight innings. Even with four shutout efforts over six outings, his ERA has just gone down from 4.68 yo 3.92. Can't trust him at all, and when he's got 47 Ks in 85 innings – who cares. He pitches at the Rangers. 

Aaron Harang has a 5.47 ERA and 1.63 WHIP over 77.1 innings against the Phillies. He was also bum-city in the last meeting when he surrendered nine runs (eight earned) back on June 18th. No thanks. 

Edinson Volquez has allowed three or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts. However his ERA has only gone down three tenths of a run as he gave up eight runs while recording seven outs on June 18th. He faces the Mets who he's never figured out (6.63 ERA, 1.88 WHIP over eight starts). Volquez also has a mere 4.44 ERA in 10 home outings this season. 


Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups. 


COMMENTS

  • 64x64

    Miguel Enguidanos 28 Jun 21:05 / Reply

    Hi Ray, I am in a 12 team 5x5 roto. I’m in 2nd place but am having trouble gaining ground and it’s been over a month. I can’t get people to trade. I did get the last place team to make a trade. I would love to give up SP as I have 137 starts out of 200 already. I’m doing great in hitting with 1st place in runs, rbis, and SBs. I’m in 5th for HR and AVG. I have been offered: Puig, McCann and Garrett Jones for my Donaldson, Trumbo and Latos. I have other good pitchers in Cole, Fister, Cueto, CJ Wilson, Gallardo and Buehrle. I also have Goldschmidt at 1st and Matt Carpenter can play 3rd. I have Daniel Murphy to cover 2nd. Given my needs at position and that I don’t need the pitching would you make this move?


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