From The Fantasy Oracle

Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.12

Saturday and Sunday are coming. You need lineup help. Let Ray Flowers break down the BVP info for you.

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I've been in San Francisco all week for the FSTA. Now I'm home, back to the grind, and sitting here working on my tan ( I really do look pretty tan). I've got time to do Live Advice, to Tweet, to write articles, to do football drafts. I basically do it all. So humble am I. Here's the weekend of matchups in the world of baseball. 

Note: This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece.   

SATURDAY


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Michael Bourn has four steals while batting .417 over 27 plate appearances against Justin Verlander. Note that if Michael Brantley is back on the field Saturday he should be in your lineup. He's hit .378 with eight RBIs over 45 at-bats. 

Robinson Cano has hit .435 with a .980 OPS against Jason Vargas. He's gone 10-for-23. 

Shin-Soo Choo lights up the Angels' Jered Weaver. Hot tamale style. He's hit .452 with a .500 OBP over 32 plate appearances. He's not the only one who has some success in the matchup. Elvis Andrus has hit .354 with a .391 OBP over 69 plate appearances. He's even gone deep twice while stealing three bags. 

Ian Desmond owns a .350 batting average in 20 at-bats against Julio Teheran. Denard Span can't quite match that but he does have a .318 mark on the back of his ball card (22 ABs). The big bopper though for the Braves has been Adam LaRoche. He's hit .357 with a homer in 14 at-bats. He's also walked seven times leading to an out of this world .571 OBP which just so happens to be an exact match for his SLG.

Aaron Hill has been anything but impressive with the bat this season, but he's gone 9-for-19 with a homer against Ryan Vogelsong (.474). Gerardo Parra has hit .400 in 15 at-bats while Miguel Montero has hit .333 with three RBIs in 21 at-bats. Oh heck, Martin Prado is also at .316 in his 19 at-bats. 

Hunter Pence has 16 at-bats against Brandon McCarthy. He's produced only one RBI but it was from a solo homer and he's also hit .444. 

Brandon Phillips has six hits in 12 at-bats against J.A. Happ. They have been big hits too. Phillips owns three homers and six RBIs. He's also stolen a bag. Joey Votto has hit .429 with a 1.038 OPS over 15 plate appearances. Ryan Ludwick is batting .333 with four RBIs over 15 at-bats. 

Will Alfonso Soriano play versus Bud Norris? He's gone .300 with two big flies over 20 at-bats against the righty. 

Dayan Viciedo has five hits against Kevin Correia in eight at-bats. He's gone deep with four RBIs. Adam Dunn has three homers and five RBIs in 23 at-bats. He's hitting just .261 though. 

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Jay Bruce has only strode to the dish nine times against J.A. but it's worth noting that he has only one hit and five punchouts. 

Marlon Byrd is batting .235 with no RBIs and seven strikeouts in 17 at-bats against Adam Wainwright. Chase Utley has hit .235 with one run batted in over his 17 at-bats.

Conor Gillaspie is one of the best hitters in baseball according to batting average. Raise your hand if you predicted that (put your hand down). He's got two hits in 11 at-bats against Kevin Correia. Paul Konerko is 0-for-9.

Paul Goldschmidt has no homers, seven strikeouts, an a .250 batting average against Ryan Vogelsong over 20 at-bats. 

Andrew McCutchen has a homer and steal against Travis Wood. He's even got a decent .355 OBP. But when one of the best players in baseball has six Ks and is batting .174 against Travis Wood over 23 at-bats you take notice. Gaby Sanchez has one hit in 17 at-bats but Pedro Alvarez can do him one better. He's got one hit in 18 at-bats. 

Carlos Quentin, yeah he's still playing, has two hits and six whiffs in 14 at-bats against Josh Beckett

Two Rangers, big name guys, really stink against Jered Weaver. Alex Rios has hit .160 with nine strikeouts in 25 at-bats. Adrian Beltre is at .211 with 14 punchouts in his 71 at-bats. He also has a .537 OPS. 

Need some NFL love? Here's a review of the recent 2014 FSTA EXPERTS DRAFT from San Francisco. 

Kyle Seager has only measly single and three Ks against Jason Vargas in 10 at-bats. 

Nick Swisher has a large sample size of 70 at-bats against Justin Verlander. It includes three homers, eight RBIs and 11 walks. It also includes 11 walks, a .214 average and a mere .321 OBP. Asdrubal Cabrera has also been a whiff machine with 23 in 60 at-bats. He's hit .231. Jason Kipnis has 12 Ks in 26 at-bats while he's hit .115. Does any of that matter with Verlander being so terrible of late?

Jayson Werth has one RBI and just three hits in 16 at-bats against Julio Teheran. Danny Espinosa has hit .200 in 10 at-bats. Anthony Rendon has a lone double in nine at-bats. Ryan Zimmerman has a homer and three RBIs but he's also the owner of a .143/.143/.357 line in 14 plate appearances.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Jesse Chavez pitches at home against the Red Sox. He's never faced them as a stater, but Chavez does have a 2.87 ERA and 1.19 WHIP at home in six starts this season. He’s also allowed more than three earned runs in a start just once in seven outings while he's lasted at least six inning each of his last four trips to the bump.

Cole Hamels pitches well against the Cardinals. In 10 career starts he has a 3.34 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Hamels has also thrown 22.2 scoreless innings over his last three starts as he's struck out 24 batters and walked five. He's also allowed only one earned run over his last four starts to drop his ERA from 4.43 to 2.78.

Jason Vargas against the Mariners has a Vargas feel to it. Facing his old club Vargas is on another role with 5-straight quality starts. During that run he's allowed only homer and he's gone at least seven innings in his last three trips to the hill. He also held the Mariners scoreless over seven innings back on May 9th. 

Jered Weaver has a 3.19 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at home this season. The last time he faced the Rangers he allowed them to record one run while making 21 outs. Be wary of the homers though as Weaver has allowed at least one in 7-straight contests. 

Travis Wood has held the current Pirates roster to a .215/.301/.365 line over 181 at-bats. He's also surrendered only three homers. Oddly though he's sporting a 6.12 ERA in nine night starts. Let's move past that to the 2.84 ERA over two starts this year against the Pirates and the 2.58 ERA in six home starts.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Trevor Bauer has been what you should have expected. He's got a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with 42 Ks in 40.2 innings. He pitches at home against the Tigers. Bauer allowed just two runs the last time he face Detroit on May 20th, but he's only struck out seven batters over his last 12 innings and has just one win in five starts as he's failed to reach seven innings in any start this season. 

Uh oh Mike Leake. Gone a little under-reported of late, but Leake has allowed 14 runs over his last 15.1 innings. That's simply pathetic. He pitches at home against the mighty Blue Jays and given that Leake has one win an a 4.15 ERA at home, and that he's allowed three big flies in his last three starts, you might be wise to pass on starting him Saturday.

Anthony Rienzo faces the Twins after losing his last four starts and allowing three homers and 13 runs over his last two efforts. Oh yeah, he's also failed to make the fourth inning in two of his last three outings. Can't trust that. 

Justin Verlander, and never has a pitcher been more accurately labeled as a “mess”, has been absolutely atrocious of late. Check out his last seven starts: 7.83 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 12.6 H/9, 4.12 BB/9. If he was anyone other than Justin Verlander he would be out of the rotation, in the minors, or on the DL. He faces an Indians team that he's long had success against but you have the guts of a burglar if you are starting this man right now in any format. 


Chris Young, and I'm still not able to explain it so he's gonna keep ending up on the avoid list, has a matchup with the streaking Royals Saturday. Young has a 3.40 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. The question is – how? The guy has 41 Ks and 33 walks over 79.1 innings. He's also allowed 1.25 HR/9, worse than the league average, but the success has kept coming. It won't continue. 

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Don't forget to bookmark the following three sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.

SUNDAY 

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day

 

Erick Aybar is batting .348 with a homer against Yu Darvish in 23 at-bats. Mike Trout has an impressive slash line of .290/.405/.710 which includes four homers, four steals and six RBIs over 37 plate appearances. 

Jeff Baker often has success against lefties. He's done just that, be successful, against Jonathon Niese whom he has produced seven hits in 15 at-bats against. Another lefty masher is Reed Johnson who is at .381 over 21 at-bats. Giancarlo Stanton has an unhealthy eight strikeouts in 21 at-bats, but he's also hit .333 with a couple of dingers.

Adrian Gonzalez takes on the slumping Eric Stults whom he's had success against. AGone has hit .294 with two homers in 17 at-bats. 

Aaron Hill, he of the unable to find take off button, has hit .294 with two homers and six RBIs over 17 at-bats against southpaw Madison Bumgarner. Meanwhile, Jordan Pacheco has hit .360-1-6 over 25 at-bats. 

Derek Jeter has produced a .462 batting average in 13 at-bats against Chris Tillman

Joe Mauer will do something Sunday. Positive of that. He's had 53 at-bats against John Danks. He's produced a .377 average and .450 OBP. It's gonna happen, even though Mauer has stunk this year. 

Moises Sierra has seven hits in 14 at-bats against Phil Hughes. He's also hit a bomb and driven in five runners. 

Denard Span has a homer, steal, five RBIs an a .333 batting average against Ervin Santana (24 ABs). 

Nick Swisher versus Max Scherzer – advantage Swisher. He has hit .368 with two homers and four RBIs over 19 at-bats.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Gordon Beckham has one hit in 14 at-bats against Phil Hughes. That's just terrible. Toss into the mix the seven Ks and it's downright terrible. Dayan Viciedo only has six at-bats but his hitless effort is notable given that he's struck out five times. Then there is Alexei Ramirez who has just two hits in 14 at-bats. 

Coco Crisp has five punchouts and is batting .154 against Jon Lester over 13 at-bats. Nick Punto (3-for-15) and Alberto Callaspo (2-for-13) don't do much either.

Diamondbacks against Madison Bumgarner: Miguel Montero (.207 over 29 ABs), Gerardo Parra (2-for-15), Martin Prado (.217 in 23 Abs), Paul Goldschmidt (.238-1 over 21 ABs).

Andre Ethier doesn't hit lefties well. The situation with Eric Stults follows suit. Ethier has hit .133 over 15 at-bats. 

Don't know how this is possible but Howie Kendrick is 0-for-19 against Yu Darvish

Jason Kipnis is one of many losers on the Indians when Max Scherzer is on the hill. Kipnis is hitting .208 with an RBI in 24 at-bats. Lonnie Chisenhall is at .250 over 20 at-bats. Michael Bourn is batting .280 but he has no RBIs, no steals and a .308 OBP over 26 plate appearances. But here's the real winner. Carlos Santana is hitting, if you can call it that, .097 over 31 at-bats. 

Russell Martin is at .200 with a .650 OPS against Jason Hammel over 16 plate appearances. Ike Davis is 2-for-11.

Yadier Molina is just 3-for-137 against Kyle Kendrick. Meanwhile Matt Holliday is 2-for-18. I know, who knew?

Jose Reyes is hitting .222 with a .222 OBP against Johnny Cueto over 18 at-bats. 

Drew Stubbs is 2-for-14 against Kyle Lohse though the game is being played in Colorado. 

Ichiro Suzuki has a measly two hits in 18 at-bats against Chris Tillman. He's also been goose egged in terms of walks. 

Kurt Suzuki has been painfully awful against John Danks. In 15 at-bats he has one hit. Kendrys Morales and Josh Willingham both have 12 at-bats and one homer in the matchup. They're also both batting .167.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Madison Bumgarner has 43 Ks in 191 at-bats against the D'backs. He's also allowed an OPS of .699. The last time he faced the Diamondbacks he allowed four runs over four innings though none of the runs were earned. He'll be looking for payback and has pitched well in June (2.86 ERA, nearly 4:1 K/BB ratio over three starts).

Yu Darvish faces the Angels Sunday. He's gone 7-1 with 88 Ks in the matchup (68.1 innings). Remove his starts versus the A's this year and his 10 other starts have resulted in a 1.00 WHIP and 1.54 ERA.

Phil Hughes is facing the White Sox who are 7th in baseball in OPS against righties. Still, the guy has owned them Sox with a 1.99 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over 45.1 innings. He's also lasted at least six innings every start since April 15th and he's still only walked two batters in his last 10 outings. 

Jon Lester held the Athletics to one hit as he struck out 15 men over eight innings back on May 3rd.  Lester has to be thought of as a solid play based just on that fact. He's also walked a total of four batters over his last four starts and his road numbers are again solid (4-3, 3.91 ERA, 1.26 WHIP).

Tommy Milone is at home, so what do you do folks? Survey says... he starts. In six home starts he's undefeated with a 2.35 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Red Sox did beat him up on May 3rd (six runs in four innings) but he's a totally different pitcher at home.

Hyun-Jin Ryu has made two starts against the Padres and he has a 0.68 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Only once in his last six starts has he allowed more than three runs and he's just not beating himself this year with 17 walks in 13 starts. 

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Jason Hammel has owned it at home this season. In five starts at Wrigley he's 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. He faces the Pirates, a team that just tagged him for 11 hits and four runs over 5.0 innings in his worst outing of the season. He's also allowed 19 hits and eight runs over his last 11 innings. Just enough to say stay away.

Kyle Lohse has a sinker but he's pitching in Colorado. Given that he's allowed 11 earned runs over his last three starts and that he has a total of seven strikeouts in those three outings let's just say he's not exactly an elite option on the bump.

Carlos Martinez has a dynamic wing. No doubt. He's also on a pitch count that makes his odds of pulling out a “W” pretty low. Too bad to since the Phillies are the 5th worst team in baseball against righties according to OPS.

Eric Stults used to pitch well at home. He can't even do that anymore. In six outings at Petco this season he's saddled with a 6.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. He faces the Dodgers at home.


Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups. 

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