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Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.11

Saturday and Sunday, who do you play in fantasy baseball? Ray Flowers gives you some insight as he dives in to batter vs. pitcher data for both days.

Slide 1 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.11 | Slide - 1 FantasyAlarm.com

I'm breaking all the rules in this piece. I'm getting frisky and funky. I'm doing nothing of the sort actually. I just wanted to catch your attention. I can help you out though for the weekend with plenty of BVP data for the weekend matchups on Saturday and Sunday. If that interests you, have a read.

NOTE: If you missed our LIVE ADVICE CHAT, shame on you. You can find a transcript of the event here. You can visit with Jeff Mans and myself every Friday at 2 PM EDT.

NOTE II: This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece.   


SATURDAY


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Carlos Gomez strokes the ball against Mat Latos who will be making his first start of the year. In 15 at-bats Gomez has hit .533 with two homers and seven RBIs. Yeah, ownage. Jean Segura treats Latos like a BP machine too as he's gone 7-for-14. Aramis Ramirez hasn't killed Latos, but he's hit .286 with three doubles and five RBIs over 21 at-bats.

Do the Angels play a hunch Saturday? Gavin Floyd cannot get out Raul Ibanez who has hit .455 with three homers and eight RBIs in just 11 at-bats. Albert Pujols may no longer be a superstar, but he can still defeat mediocre talent. In 13 career at-bats Pujols has hit .528 with two homers and eight RBIs. Josh Hamilton has been on his game since returning and he's always on top of things against Floyd as he's hit .533 with a homer and five RBIs over 15 at-bats.

Will it finally happen? Will Austin Jackson finally start hitting like we know he can? Versus Samuel Deduno he's produced a .417-1-2 line in 12 at-bats.

Ryan Ludwick should be in the Reds lineup. In 29 at-bats against Yovani Gallardo the outfielder has hit .379 with three homers and 11 RBIs in just 29 at-bats. The struggling Jay Bruce has also hammered Gallardo hitting .357 with two homers and nine RBI over 42 at-bats. Let's keep the party going. Todd Frazier has hit .350 with a homer in 20 at-bats. Joey Votto is only batting .244 but he has a homer and 11 RBIs in 41 at-bats. Meanwhile, if Brandon Phillips is healthy enough to play, give him a look too. He's hit .333 with two homers and seven RBIs over 54 at-bats.

Chris Owings might be the lock of the day. In 11 at-bats against Dan Haren he has nine hits. Aaron Hill has hit .321-1-6 over 28 at-bats.

Brian Roberts has 41 plate appearances against Scott Kazmir. He's hit .286 with a .390 OBP and he's swiped five bags. Ichiro Suzuki has only stolen one base, but he's also hit .333 over 30 at-bats.

Wilin Rosario has had a rough season. He's also hit three homers with six RBIs in 12 at-bats against Ryan Vogelsong.

Carlos Ruiz and Chase Utley are both 6-for-11 against Edwin Jackson. Utley has three RBIs while Ruiz has two. Marlon Byrd has also hit .304 with a homer and five RBIs over 23 at-bats but the big bopper is Jimmy Rollins who has hit .556 with two homers in nine at-bats.  

Giancarlo Stanton has hit .455 with a .500 OBP in 12 plate appearances against Charlie Morton.

Mark Teixeira has hit .550 with a 1.683 OPS over 28 plate appearances against Scott Kazmir. He's hit four doubles, two homers and has driven in eight run.

If he plays... Josh Thole is 5-for-13 against Bud Norris. He has a homer and two RBIs.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Alex Avila has one hit in 11 at-bats, and five Ks as well, versus Samuel Deduno. The other catcher type, well sort of, of the Tigers is Victor Martinez, and all he does is hit homers. He doesn't hit anything against Deduno though as he has one hit in nine at-bats.

Ryan Braun has struggled against the tattooed one – Mat Latos. In 17 at-bats he's produced a mere two hits (.117).

Domonic Brown has three hits in 15 at-bats against Edwin Jackson. Oh, and he also sucks.

When Robinson Cano is hitting .235 against someone in 17 at-bats it's news. When that man is Joe Saunders it's jaw dropping. Willie Bloomquist has one hit in 14 at-bats in the matchup.

Allen Craig has five Ks in nine at-bats against Stephen Strasburg. He's also failed to get a hit. Jon Jay is hitless in six at-bats.

Chris Davis has a homer and four RBIs against R.A. Dickey but he's also hitting .238 and hasn't drawn one walk in 21 at-bats. Adam Jones also struggled against the knuckle baller with a .158 average over 19 at-bats.

Josh Donaldson has two hits in 12-bats, that's a .167 average, to go along with four strikeouts against Hiroki Kuroda. Brandon Moss has a homer but he's also spotting a .200 average and .250 OBP over 16 plate appearances.

Paul Goldschmidt is 2-for-13 against Dan Haren.

Andrew McCutchen is treating June like his b - - - h. Oddly, Randy Wolf has treated him that way in their matchups. McC is batting .200 with a .556 OPS over 28 plate appearances. Clint Barmes, woof. He's hit .100 over 20 at-bats. Randy Wolf guys – come on.  

The following group of Nationals players have but one hit against Shelby Miller. Their at-bat totals are listed in parenthesis: Anthony Rendon (5), Jayson Werth (6), Adam LaRoche (8), Denard Span (8) Ian Desmond (9). Just for fun, Bryce Harper too (8).

Ryan Raburn has two homers and eight RBIs in 15 at-bats against Jake Peavy. He's also hitting .200 with a .188 OBP so for the majority of the matchup he's stunk. Michael Brantley has also struggled hitting .227 with five Ks over 22 at-bats though he does have five RBIs. Nick Swisher, just off the DL, has one hit in 12 at-bats but the worst part is that eight of the 11 outs have come via the punchout. Carlos Santana is also 1-for-9.

Alfonso Soriano has been hitting lefties well, but he's also gone 1-for-12 with seven Ks against Scott Kazmir. Derek Jeter cannot hit Kazy either (I totally made up that nickname). Jeter has a .133/.220/.311 slash line over 48 plate appearances.  

Troy Tulowitzki has 10 at-bats against Ryan Vogelsong. All he has to show for that is four strikeouts and no hits.

Josh Willingham has two hits in 16 at-bats against Anibal Sanchez. He's also struck out seven times. Oddly, he's walked eight times which means that despite a .125 average that his OBP is still an impressive .417. Brian Dozier, if his back allows him to play, shouldn't be in your lineup. Physical woes aside, he's also got one hit in 13 at-bats against Anibal.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Chris Archer faces the Astros in Houston. Current Astros batters are 3-for-24 against him with only one walk. Archer is also rolling over opponents right now having allowed a total of three runs, wait for it, over his last five outings. Five. He hasn't allowed a homer in that time while he's lowered his ERA from 5.16 to 3.42.

Jarred Cosart faces the struggling Rays in Houston. The last time he allowed more than three runs was way back on April 18th. The last time he allowed a homer was back on April 29th. He's also won four of his last six decisions coming in his last six outings. The Rays are hitting .244 with a mere .685 OPS against righties (9th worst in baseball).

Garrett Richards has won his last two games allowing no walks, striking out 13 and allowing no runs. The power sinker is back. He faces the Braves in Atlanta and he's got a 2.08 ERA and 0.97 WHP over eight road starts.

Shelby Miller has made three starts against the Nationals with spectacular results: 0.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 18 Ks in 18 innings. He faced the Nats back on April 20th and it was 5.1 innings of shutout ball. He tossed a complete game shutout in his last outing against the mighty Blue Jays. He starts at home.

Scott Kazmir, yet again. Totally bonkers to think that after 13 starts he has a 2.20 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, but there it is. He's allowed just five walks and six runs over his last four starts. He's also sporting a 1.69 ERA and 0.78 WHIP this year over five starts at home. He takes on the Yankees.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Gavin Floyd faces the Angels in Atlanta Saturday. Not really sure how he's doing it, but after 6.1 innings of one run ball in Colorado it's time to start taking him seriously. Through seven starts he has a 2.57 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. In three starts at home this year the numbers are nearly the same (2.89 ERA, 1.39 WHIP). Still, that WHIP is pretty darn high and the Angels are 8th in baseball in OPS against righties.

Dan Haren at hone versus the D'backs. Haren hasn't gone more than six innings in 5-straight starts and his numbers since May started aren't very good: 3-4, 4.41 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 1.65 HR/9.

Yovani Gallardo has a 3.71 ERA and 1.25 WHIP this season. Those are both league average numbers. He pitches at home where he owns a 4.01 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over seven starts. He faces the Red. He  lost to the Reds on May 3rd when he allowed four runs over six innings.

Hiroki Kuroda faces the Athletics in Oakland. You know what team leads the AL in home OPS? Yep, the A's. The Athletics also handle righties well with the 5th best OPS against them in all of baseball. A bit risky to trust that though given that Kuroda tossed 6.2 innings of one run ball against them just 10 days ago. Still, there it is.

Randy Wolf. Come on. Really? He's allowed 11 runs, nine earned, over his last three starts. He faces the Pirates in Miami.

Slide 2 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.11 | Slide - 2 FantasyAlarm.com

Don't forget to bookmark the following three sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.

SUNDAY


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Jose Bautista has hit .318 with two homers and four RBIs in 22 at-bats against Chris Tillman. Melky Cabrera has hit .368 with a homer and four RBIs over 19 at-bats.

Adrian Beltre is a killer against Hisashi Iwakuma. He's taken him deep three times with five RBIs in 25 at-bats. He's also hitting .400.

Jay Bruce is a caveman searching for his mate against Marco “Home Run” Estrada. In 19 at-bats Bruce has gone deep four times with eight RBIs.

Starlin Castro has hit .400 with a .880 OPS against A.J. Burnett over 25 plate appearances. He's also swiped three bags. Nate Schierholtz has five hits in 11 at-bats (.455).

Brandon Crawford has four doubles and is batting .385 against Juan Nicasio.

Aaron Hill is at .375-1-8 over 40 at-bats against Josh Beckett.

Adam Jones is 5-for-10 against J.A. Happ.

Matt Kemp is at .423-2-3 over 26 at-bats against Bronson Arroyo.

Alexei Ramirez have a career against James Shields. In 45 at-bats he's hit two homers, driven in six runs and stolen two bases. He's also hitting .422 with a 1.081 OPS. Gordon Beckham has nine Ks in 29 at-bats but he's also got nine hits leading to a .310 average with two homers. Dayan Viciedo is hitting .364 over 22 at-bats.

Josh Rutledge has a homer and is batting .438 against Madison Bumgarner in 16 at-bats. Wilin Rosario is batting .357-1-6 in 28 at-bats. Troy Tulowitzki is batting .333 with a homer over 24 at-bats. Brandon Barnes is at .417 in 12 at-bats.

It's four at-bats but Seth Smith is 4-for-4 against Dice-K (one of the hits was a homer). And it's Daisuke Matsuzaka.

Rickie Weeks has two homers, three RBIs an a .417 average against Mike Leake in 12 at-bats. Jonathan Lucroy is batting .353 over 17 at-bats.                                                      

Josh Willingham has hit .389 with two homers and seven RBIs against Rick Porcello over 18 at-bats. Brian Dozier is at .313-2-6 over 16 at-bats.

David Wright has hit .385 with two homers and five RBIs over 13 at-bats against Ian Kennedy.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Marlon Byrd has three hits in 17 at-bats against Travis Wood. That's a .176 average. Ryan Howard is 1-for-9 and Jimmy Rollins is 2-for-10.

Adam Dunn is batting .172 with 12 Ks in 29 at-bats against James Shields. Paul Konerko is batting .158 with 11 Ks in 38 at-bats.

Adrian Gonzalez is batting .156 with one RBI over 32 at-bats against Bronson Arroyo.

Eric Hosmer continues to disappoint. He's also 1-for-9 with three Ks against Andre Rienzo.

Adam LaRoche and Ryan Zimmerman are a combined 3-for-17 against Jaime Garcia.

D.J. LeMahieu is at .105 in 19 at-bats against MadBum.

Leonys Martin is 1-for-12 against Hisashi Iwakuma. Elvis Andrus is batting .227 over 22 at-bats. Alex Rios is at .235 over 17 at-bats.

Russell Martin has two hits in 15 at-bats, along with six Ks, against Henderson Alvarez. Oddly one of his hits was a big fly.

Kendrys Morales is 3-for-16 against Rick Porcello. Struggling Joe Mauer has hit .278 with no homers over 36 at-bats.

Aramis Ramirez has three hits in 27 at-bats against Mike Leake while Jean Segura is 2-for-10.

Reds' left fielder against Marco Estrada. Ryan Ludwick is 1-for-12 while Chris Heisey is 0-for-8 with six Ks.

Pablo Sandoval has been sick and he's 2-for-14 against Juan Nicasio.

Luis Valbuena has been incredibly hot the past few weeks. He's the Iceman against A.J. Burnett as he's failed to get a hit in 15 at-bats.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Josh Beckett pitches at home against the D'backs. How do you go against a guy who has allowed four runs over his last four starts? Beckett has a 2.41 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home in seven starts.

Jesse Chavez allowed four runs two starts ago to the Yankees (4 ER, 6 IP). He's lost three of his last four outings. He's still got a 3.04 ERA on the year and the mark is 3.13 at home. He faces the Yankees in Oakland and the Yankees are 21st on OPS against righties.

Doug Fister has a 5-1 record, 2.68 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. He's walked three batters. Just doesn't beat himself. He's gone at least seven innings in four of his last six starts so he's also going deep into games. He faces the Cardinals in St. Louis.

Hisashi Iwakuma versus the current Rangers roster: .217/.247/.364 in 143 at-bats. Remove Adrian Beltre and those numbers drop to a .178 average in 118 at-bats. The last time Hisashi faced the Rangers he allowed two runs over eight innings on May 20th.

Ian Kennedy pitches at Citi Field against the Mets. He has a 3.63 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, not to mention 91 Ks, over 86.2 innings this season. He did allow five runs last time out, but in the previous three outings he permitted just four runs. He also has a 3.32 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in six road starts.

Mike Minor faces the Angels at home. Minor allowed right runs in his last outing. The previous two outings he allowed two runs over 14 innings and he's only walked six guys in his last three starts. He's not beating himself.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Marco Estrada, over his last 10 starts, has allowed 18 homers. Eighteen. He's also, uncharacteristically, walked a total of 11 batters in his last three starts. Kryptonite. He faces the Reds in Milwaukee.

Jaime Garcia faces the Nationals, a club that is 6th in baseball in OPS against lefties. I know Garcia has walked only three batters in five games, but he's also got a 4.26 ERA and has allowed five homers in five starts. Just don't trust him.

Ricky Nolasco faces the Tigers in Detroit. He's the holder of a 5.70 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He's allowed three homers and eight runs over his last two starts. It's not getting any better. He's also simply dreadful on the road this year: 7.36 ERA, 1.89 WHIP over eight starts.

Andre Rienzo is on the cusp of losing his job. He's got a 5.25 ERA, 1.50 WHIP an a 1.81 K/BB ratio. He's also failed to last even four innings in either of his last two starts, and he's lost his last three outings. He faces the Royals in Chicago.

Chris Tillman has been very hit or miss of late. Here are his earned run totals his last five outings: eight, six, one, five and one. You trust that? Two of those outings lasted three outs. He faces the Blue Jays, one of the biggest and baddest offenses in baseball.

Travis Wood faces the Phillies in Philadelphia. Wood has a 4.95 ERA on the season, ugly, and it's even worse on the road where in seven starts he has a 7.34 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. Stay far away.


Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups.


COMMENTS

  • 64x64

    Christopher Backhaus 14 Jun 13:23 / Reply

    Hello Ray. Try to sell high on Tim Hudson. The one offer I got is Hudson for Samardzjia but I have to include Torii Hunter. I know its a lot to pay. Ok to make? If I confirm, I would pick up Ozuna or Yelich who has similar numbers as Hunter from the ww. What do you think? Or should I just enjoy the Tim Hudson ride? Thanks


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