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Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.9

Weekend number nine of the baseball season is upon us. Ray Flowers breaks down the BVP information.

Slide 1 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.9 | Slide - 1 FantasyAlarm.com

It's Friday which means it's time for your early Daily Trends article for games taking place Saturday and Sunday. Oh, I don't take the weekend off, don't worry (you can catch me and Howard Bender on Sirius 210, XM 87, 7-10 PM EDT Sunday night), but I try to ease back on the writing a bit. Don't want to leave you hanging though, so here's some matchup data for the weekend action.

NOTE I: If you missed the first Fantasy Alarm Live Chat Friday, you can go to the following link to review the transcript of the event.

NOTE II: This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece. 

LAST TWO WEEKS

HOT HITTERS

Yasiel Puig: .417-4-9-11-1
Nelson Cruz:.417-7-14-13
George Springer:.356-7-18-16
Edwin Encarnacion: .314-10-18-13
Pablo Sandoval: .383-6-16-11
Xander Bogaerts: .400/.464/.620
A.J. Pollock: .365-2-6-11-2
Alex Gordon: .333-2-11-6-1
Jason Heyward : .321-2-3-7-2
Jose Altuve: .397 with 13 runs, six steals
J.J. Hardy is batting .373 over 55 ABs. He hasn't gone deep.
Alex Rios: .382-0-8-10-3

COLD HITTERS

Buster Posey is battling health woes and has a .094/.108/.094 slash line.
Jonathan Villar has no homers, one steal, and is batting .097.
Wil Myers continues to slump hitting .105 with a homer.
Jason Kubel is batting .120 with no runs or RBIs.
Anthony Rendon has a .125 average and .175 SLG.
David Ortiz is batting .150 with a .225 SLG.
Derek Norris is slashing .171/.310/.314. The slowdown is underway.
Dee Gordon is batting .188. Luckily he has seven steals.
Eric Hosmer is batting .200 with no homers.

SATURDAY

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Matt Carpenter has only nine at-bats against Matt Cain but he's got seven hits. John Jay has also rapped out six singles in 11 at-bats. Make sure Cain starts for the Giants. It's not a lock as of this writing.

Starlin Castro has hit a robust .474 with two homers and four RBIs over 19 at-bats against Wily Peralta. Anthony Rizzo has also performed above and beyond with a .375-2-5 line in just 16 at-bats.

Kelly Johnson thrashes Kevin Correia though that can pretty much be said about anyone at the moment. In 28 at-bats KJ has hit .321 with 10 RBIs but, wait for it... he's also hit five bombs.

Howie Kendrick has hit two homers with seven runs driven in over 23 at-bats against Tommy Milone. He's also batting a cool .435. Erick Aybar also hits well in the matchup with his .368 average over 19 at-bats.

Martin Prado's bat has suddenly awoken as he's hit two homers in his last three games. He's also scored a run in 5-straight while driving in a run in 5-straight as well. He's produced a .357 average, a homer, and five RBIs against Johnny Cueto in 14 at-bats.

Alex Rios has 10 base knocks in just 19 at-bats against Doug Fister. The most amazing part about hitting .526 is that he only has one extra base hit (a double). Adrian Beltre has done his fair share of bashing too with eight hits in 20 at-bats while Shin-Soo Choo has also beat around Fister pretty good with a .321 average, two homers and five RBIs over 28 at-bats.

Dropping some science on you.

Not like you were playing him anyway, but B.J. Upton has one hit while striking out six times in nine at-bats against Jacob Turner. Jason Heyward also has gone 1-for-9 but he's only fallen victim to the strikeout twice.

David Wright has three homers, seven RBIs and the following slash line against Kyle Kendrick over 46 plate appearances: .341/.362/.614.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Elvis Andrus has been hitting well of late, but he's often been stopped by Doug Fister whom he has hit .214 against with one RBI over 28 at-bats. Mitch Moreland also has one RBI but he's only hitting .133 in 15 at-bats even though he's only whiffed once.

Lucas Duda is one of the Mets that has trouble squaring up the ball against Kyle Kendrick (I don't know why that is either). Duda has hit .167 with a homer over 18 at-bats. Chris Young has hit .176 with a homer over 17 at-bats. Ruben Tejada has no homers and has hit .211 over 19 at-bats. Most shocking might be the .200 average and two RBIs by Daniel Murphy in 30 at-bats.

Matt Holliday has a solid three homers in 43 at-bats against Matt Cain. He's also got only eight hits leading to a .186 batting average and .260 OBP. Smaller sample size: the suddenly hot Allen Craig has one single in eight at-bats.

Miguel Montero has only struck out once in 13 at-bats against Johnny Cueto but he's also produced only one hit.  

Oh Nate Schierholtz, take a seat on the bench. Over 17 at-bats against Wily Peralta he has one hit. At least he has one. Junior Lake is 0-for-7 with four Ks.

Mr. Strikeout, Mike Trout, has actually struck out six times in 18 at-bats against Tommy Milone. For his career Milone has averaged all of 6.63 strikeouts per nine innings.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Dallas Keuchel, gulp, is a must start in every format on the planet right now. He's won 4-straight games and recorded 80 of the 81 available outings for the Astros in his last three starts. On yeah, he's also walked one batter, struck out 21 and permitted three runs (two earned). Good look Orioles.

Tommy Milone pitches at home against the Angels. Plug and play. He's made four starts at home this year and has gone 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. For his career he's 14-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Jake Odorizzi has allowed a total of four runs over his last four starts. He's also struck out 31 batters in just 21.2 innings. He takes on the Red Sox at Fenway which sounds scary but consider this. Over the last two weeks the Red Sox are hitting .240 with a .647 OPS. They have the second worst offensive WAR of any offense in baseball in that time (only the Twins are worse). That's just awful.

Wily Peralta get some respect. In six outings against the Cubs he has a 3.22 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, and earlier this year he held the Cubbies to three runs over seven innings. This season he's posted a 2.12 ERA on the year and he's got a 2.27 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over six home starts.

Hyun-jin Ryu takes on the Pirates at home Saturday. He's made nine starts this season with a 3.10 ERA and 1.17 WHIP, nearly identical to the marks he posted last year (3.00 and 1.20). He's also posted a quality start in six of his last eight outings.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Brandon McCarthy is just too inconsistent for my taste. Three of his last five outings he's permitted one or zero runs, but thanks to 12 runs in the the other two outings his May ERA is only 4.06. He's also only picked up one win in 10 starts and he's pitching at home against the Reds, a place he has a 4.83 ERA over six starts this season.

This is for Jeff Mans...

Ervin Santana faces the Marlins in Miami where that club has an OPS of .810, the third best in baseball. Santana has also been obliterated his last three outings to the tun of 17 runs over 17 innings. Crazy time if you're starting him.

Drew Smyly has had starts skipped, he's been used out of the pen, he's had weather as a competitor. It's been a really rocky season for him an in his last start the damn broke as he allowed four homers and six runs over five innings. He's been solid in six outings at night (3.00 ERA, 1.30 WHIP) and on the road (3.46 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) but he's too unpredictable to start with confidence against the Mariners.

Chris Tillman is lost right now. You don't need me to tell you that (I hope). His last two starts have resulted in 14 runs over 6.2 innings as his ERA has gone from 3.34 to 4.97. He has to be hurt, right? Even if he's just missing his spots, he's missing terribly. Bench him, in all formats, against the Astros.

Chris Young has a 4-2 record, 3.30 ERA and 1.15 WHIP on the season. It's a complete mirage. He's throwing 85 mph, has a sickly 3.77 K/9 mark and has just one fewer walk (23) than punchouts this season (24). his HR/F ratio is also way up at 1.41 and he faces the Tigers, at home, Friday.

Slide 2 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.9 | Slide - 2 FantasyAlarm.com

Don't forget to bookmark the following three sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
Ryan Braun: .438-2-5 in 16 at-bats against Jeff Samardzija.

Billy Butler has been up and down but he figures to be up Sunday against Mark Buehrle who he's hit .349 against with three homers and 17 RBIs in 63 at-bats. Alcides Escobar (.353 in 17 ABs) and Eric Hosmer (.313 in 16 ABs) have fared well as well.

Jacoby Ellsbury hasn't exactly been lighting it up recently, but he does have a .375 batting average and .500 OBP against Phil Hughes over 20 plate appearances.

Edwin Encarnacion had a May for the ages. How will he start of June? He has two homers an a .375 average in 32 at-bats against Jeremy Guthrie. Others hit Guthrie well too. Melky Cabrera has hit .351 with a homer and eight RBIs over 37 at-bats while Adam Link has hit .364 with a .950 OPS over 46 plate appearances.

Jason Heyward is heating up the past two weeks (see the top of this article). Nathan Eovaldi hasn't been able to slow him down either as Heyward has hit .444 over 18 at-bats.

Matt Holliday is at .375 with five RBIs over 24 at-bats against wily Tim Hudson. Yadier Molina is at .400 with five RBIs of his own (15 ABs).

Desmond Jennings has hit .359 with a homer and two steals against Jon Lester. Matt Joyce has also joined the offensive party hitting .364 with two homers and six RBIs over 11 at-bats.

Garrett Jones has hit .389 with a big fly and six RBIs in 18 at-bats versus Aaron Harang.

Justin Morneau has two homers, six RBIs an a .385 average against weak Josh Tomlin in 13 at-bats.

Daniel Murphy mashes Cole Hamels to the tune of a .425/.439/.600 slash line over 41 plate appearances. David Wright is at .329 with five homer and 16 RBIs in 70 at-bats. Makes Wright an obvious must start. Juan Lagares has also hit .375 over 16 at-bats.    

Anthony Rizzo isn't impressed by the pinpoint control of Kyle Lohse. He's hit .474 in 19 at-bats. Junior Lake is at .455 with two homers in 11 at-bats.

A.J. Pierzynski – punk extraordinaire. AJP is also a fine hitter who has hit .391 with two homers in 23 at-bats against Erik Bedard.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Starlin Castro is one of many Cubs to struggle against Kyle Lohse. He's hit .219 with one RBI in 32 at-bats. Emilio Bonifacio (2-for-10, no SBs) and Wellington Castillo (.158 in 19 ABs) are some of the others. And Mike Olt, what's wrong with him? He's 0-for-1.

Coco Crisp is a catastrophic failure against Jered Weaver. He has four steals over 52 plate appearances but he's hit .160 with two RBIs. Surprisingly, righty killer Brandon Moss is only 1-for-11 while John Jaso is 1-for-12 and Josh Donaldson is 0-for-8.

Freddie Freeman hasn't figured out the hard throwing Nathan Eovaldi who has held the lefty swinger to a .150 average in 20 at-bats. Justin Upton has also joined the struggling party with a 3-for-16 line. B.J. Upton, Chris Johnson and Evan Gattis have combined to go 0-for-18.

Adam Jones has hit .111 in 18 at-bats against Scott Feldman. I know, doesn't make sense but there it is.

Evan Longoria what has happened against Jon Lester? The three homers an eight RBIs over 50 at-bats is nice, but a .220 average and 18 Ks – not so much. Sean Rodriguez has been worse with a .208 average an eight Ks in 24 at-bats. The worstest (made up term)? David DeJesus who has one hit in 17 at-bats.

Jonathan Lucroy is batting .111 with seven Ks in 18 at-bats against Jeff Samardzija.

David Ortiz is slumping a bit, and he's never figured out Erik Bedard (I know how funny that sounds). In 29 career at-bats he has a homer but he's also hit .172 with nine punchouts. Jonny Gomes has been similarly inept with one homer an a .185 average with nine Ks over 27 at-bats. Grady Sizemore is also hitless in 13 at-bats while Dustin Pedroia is batting .158 with a .501 OPS over 21 plate appearances.

This just has to be true.

Hanley Ramirez is at .158 with one RBIs in 19 at-bats against Edinson Volquez.

Brian Roberts has two hits against the insanely hot Phil Hughes in 17 at-bats.

Jimmy Rollins has hit .217 with a .265 OBP against Jonathon Niese over 49 plate appearances. He doesn't have a single RBI. Chase Utley, shockingly, has been worse. Check out his slash line over 30 plate appearances: .107/.219/.107. Ryan Howard joins the pity party with a .317 OPS and 10 Ks over 22 plate appearances.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed one homer in 121 at-bats against current Braves as he's held the unit to a pathetic .215/.280/.314 slash line. He's also been pretty nails in six home starts going 3-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.10 WHIP as he's issued only six free passes. He's not that bad now is he?

Zack Greinke will get back on track against the Pirates. Not like he fall off the wagon last start or anything (3 ERs, 11 Ks in 7.2 IP). How dare the Reds score three runs against him.

Chris Sale will start Sunday, a day earlier than expected, after his last start was cut short by rain (three innings). In nine innings he's been back from injury he's allowed one hit, walked one batter, and struck out 14. Good luck Padres.

Jeff Samardzija has one win in 11 starts. He has a 1.68 ERA though, and only twice this year has he allowed as many as three earned runs. He faces the Brewers in Milwaukee.

Max Scherzer has allowed 12 runs over his last 13 outings. He also has a 4.38 ERA and 1.46 WHIP on the road thanks in no small part to those beating. What are the odds that he tosses up three straight stinkers? Pretty low, right? The last time he took on the Mariners he allowed one run over eight innings while striking out 12.

Jered Weaver, what do you know, isn't washed up despite what some folks said after he allowed five homers in his first two starts. Since then he's allowed four big flies in eight games as he's lowered his ERA to 2.99. He's flat out dominated the A's in his career with a 2.23 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over 173.2 innings, and the current Athletics club has hit .171 against him with a .450 OPS over 164 at-bats. He's also yet to allow any of them to take him deep. That's astounding.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Scott Feldman takes on the Orioles. He pitched well against them back on May 9th (6 IP, 5 hits, 6 Ks, 0 runs) but he's tempting fate given his peripherals which include a total of just three homers and 22 strikeouts over 47.2 innings. Sooner or later this facade will crumble.

Sonny Gray has been great this year, but he takes on the Angels at home Sunday. He's pitched decently at home, but his 3.32 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over six starts don't impress. He's also coming off his first game this season allowing more than three earned runs, and he's been taken deep four times in his last five outings.

Cole Hamels take a seat. Shockingly, current Mets batters have a .297/.355/.446 slash line against Hamels over 269 at-bats. He dominated the group on May 11th (1 ER, 10 Ks in 7 IP), but his track record against the team is a negative as is his total of seven runs allowed over his last two outings.

Phil Hughes has been special going 5-1 with a 3.23 to start his Twins career. Eat your heart out Greg Maddux, he also last allowed a walk on April 20th. He returns to the site of many a beating, Yankee Stadium, so you have to figure walks, and homers (none in his last four games), will follow. Not scientific by any means, but playing a hunch.

Jon Lester starts at home against the Rays. For his career he has a 4.30 ERA and 1.32 WHIP against the Rays, and on the year those numbers in five home starts aren't any better (3.73 and 1.44). He's also allowed three homers and 10 runs over his last 12.1 innings as the regression monster takes hold.

Wade Miley had 11 Ks in his last out, but he's also allowed at least three earned runs in six of his last seven starts. He's also really struggled in home outings this year with a sickly 6.50 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over six outings. He faces the Reds.


Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups.


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