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Daily Trends: Weekend Edition 6

This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece.

Slide 1 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition 6 | Slide - 1 FantasyAlarm.com

Friday is the best day. The lure of the weekend is close, the intoxicating aroma of beauty, booze and trouble. Ah, ain't it great? For those of you that will be able to hold it together Friday night, here are some juicy bits of info for the weekend matchups in baseball on Saturday and Sunday.

SATURDAY

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
 
The suddenly hot Adrian Beltre should stay that way against Jon Lester if history is a guide. In 25 at-bats he's gone deep, posted four ribbies, and hit .360.

My disdain for Zack Cozart is well chronicled. I'll give him some props here. In seven at-bats against Jordan Lyles he has five hits (including a homer), and six RBIs. Of course, Lyles is currently rocking it for the Rockies. Joey Votto also hasn't been impressed with six hits, including a homer, in nine at-bats.

Andre Ethier must see a beach ball when Matt Cain is on the bump. In 70 at-bats he has 30 hits. That's a .429 batting average. The only surprise might be that he has only one homer. Adrian Gonzalez gets into the act too hitting .292 with four homers and 13 RBIs over 72 at-bats.

Matt Holliday hasn't exactly been himself this season but it doesn't seem like Edinson Volquez will be able to hold him down. In 24 at-bats Holliday has hit .375 with two homers and five RBIs. Teammate Mark Ellis has been dreadful with the bat, but perhaps Volquez is the tonic he needs. Ellis is hitting .318 with a homer in 22 at-bats.

Ryan Howard obliterates Dillon Gee. I mean, you have to feel bad for Gee. At least a little bit. Check out what has happened in the 15 at-bats: .467 average, six homers and 14 RBIs. His OPS in the 15 at-bats is 2.133. Sick. Makes poor Jimmy Rollins and his .474 average in 19 at-bats seem trivial.

Starling Marte is 6-for-13 against Lance Lynn. He's not been very good this year however.

Aramis Ramirez is batting a shocking .526 against CC Sabathia with 10 hits in 19 at-bats.

Inquisitive shark eats a boat?

Alfonso Soriano has mashed many a pitcher through the years, and Kyle Lohse falls into the class of those that are torched (.357-4-12 in 56 ABs). As fantastic as Soriano is against Lohse it's insane to think that his effort pales, seriously, in comparison to the efforts of Carlos Beltran. Beltran has 25 hits in 51 at-bats (.490). He's rocked four homers and socked six doubles. He's also walked 11 times leading to a .571 OBP. That's as impressive a batting line as you will ever see against a hurler. Ever. Make Mark Teixeira and his .375-1-4 line in 24 at-bats look insignificant.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

J.P. Arencibia is so bad. In 44 at-bats against Jon Lester he has 18 Ks and is batting .182. Elvis Andrus is batting .240 (25 ABs), Shin-Soo Choo .077 (with six Ks in 13 at-bats) and Alex Rios is at .250 (nine Ks in 40 at-bats).

For some unknown reason the Braves gave Chris Johnson a three year contract. He won't justify that faith Saturday against Jeff Samardzija (1-for-9 with 5 Ks).

Brian McCann has never figured out Kyle Lohse with a .217 average in 23 at-bats (he does have one big fly).

Andrew McCutchen can't seem to figure out Lance Lynn. Feel pretty comfortable saying that when you notice that he's hit .154 in 26 at-bats with a whopping 10 punchouts.

Daniel Murphy has only five hits in 27 at-bats (.185) against Kyle Kendrick. Very surprised by that. Lucas Duda has three hits in 16 at-bats (.188). Not surprised by that.

Yadier Molina no likey facing Edinson Volquez. I've deduced that by reading the numbers which show Molina to be a poor performer (.154 with a .522 OPS in 26 at-bats).

Lyle Overbay is owned by CC Sabathia. It's only nine at-bats but when you have seven Ks in nine ABs, you're owned.

U.S. Air Force: We're Not Afraid Of Godzilla.

Trevor Plouffe has seen his batting average drop about .387 points the past two weeks (slight exaggeration). He's only 1-for-13 with seven strikeouts against Max Scherzer. There's the bench Mr. Plouffe. Brian Dozier is even worse with six strikeouts and no hits in eight at-bats against the flame thrower.

Carlos Ruiz has one hit in 10 at-bats against Dillon Gee.

The every reliable Nick Swisher hasn't been one bit reliable this year unless the goal is to be reliably awful. Facing Erik Bedard doesn't seem likely to help reverse that trend. Swisher is batting .200 with eight Ks in 20 at-bats. David Murphy is also hitting a poor .231 in 13 at-bats.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Erik Bedard, yes the lefty starting pitcher of the Rays, has been solid in his last two  outings allowing just two runs over 11.1 innings. He also faces an Indians club that is hitting all of .213 against lefties this season with a .618 OPS.

The Padres can't hit. Nathan Eovaldi can pitch. Only once this season has he not posted a “quality” start, and back on April 6th Nathan allowed three runs over seven innings against these same Padres (he's got a 1.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in three starts against the Friars in his career).

Sonny Gray has a 1.91 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through seven starts. He's yet to allow more than three runs in an outing. In his young career he's made 10 starts at home with a 2.19 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. The Nationals come to town Saturday.

Jon Lester threw eight shutout innings with 15 Ks in his last outing. He's also posted a 2.83 ERA and 0.94 WHIP on the road while walking three batters in four outings. That's enough to suggest him even pitching on the road in Texas.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Jordan Lyles can't keep this up. He has 24 Ks in 44.2 innings, and frankly, he's just not skilled enough to be a 2.62 ERA, 1.05 WHIP kinda guy. He's actually been worse on the road this season (3.91 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) and he goes to Cincinnati Saturday.

Zach McAllister has a lot of juice behind him after his 6.2 innings shutout effort last time he took the bump. However, he also allowed nine runs over 9.1 innings in the two outings before that, and he's not been very good on the road this season in four outings (5.59 ERA, 1.55 WHIP). He faces the Rays in Tampa.

Martin Perez has been beaten for 13 runs in his last two outings (9.2 innings). He allowed 11 base runners and four runs in 6.1 innings to the Red Sox back on April 8th. Doesn't sound like a good play, does he?

Alfredo Simon has been stupendous as a fill-in starter for the Reds. He's made six starts with at least six innings pitched leading to a 1.99 ERA. He faces the Rockies Saturday. Though the game is in Cincy it should be noted that the Rockies have a .302 batting average against righties this season. Their TEAM is batting .302. They also lead the NL in homers (36) and the majors in OPS (.849) against righties.

Edinson Volquez take a seat. Dude has 21 Ks in seven starts, has produced only one win, and has allowed four homers and 12 runs over his last two starts. The Cardinals should find success against the righty.

Slide 2 of 2 Daily Trends: Weekend Edition 6 | Slide - 2 FantasyAlarm.com

Don't forget to bookmark the following three sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher
Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.

 

SUNDAY

DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day

Pedro Alvarez is batting .200 against Shelby Miller. However, all three of his hits are homers. Pretty traditional story with Alvarez.

Alberto Callaspo has eight hits in 20 at-bats against lefty Gio Gonzalez. Callaspo is not hitting well against lefties this season though (.176/.300/.294) so start him at your own risk.

Shin-Soo Choo has seven hits against John Lackey (.389 average).

Jacoby Ellsbury has hit .313 with three steals in 34 plate appearances against Matt Garza.  

Freddie Freeman has seven hits, including two moonshots, in 11 at-bats against Edwin Jackson. Justin Upton only has one homer and six hits in his 11 at-bats. Slacker.

Adrian Gonzalez faces the totally locked in Tim Hudson Sunday. Who will emerge victorious? History suggests it will be AGone who has hit .450 with two homers in 20 at-bats in the matchups.

Jon Jay has eight hits in 16 at-bats versus Charlie Morton. Allen Craig has nine hits in 18-bats. What kind of a slacker is Yadier Molina who has only eight hits in 19 at-bats (.421). It's OK though. Molina has six RBIs to soften the blow.

Carlos Ruiz has taken Jonathon Niese deep while batting .348 in 23 at-bats.

I don't really like Justin Smoak. But, here it is – he's got three homers and seven RBIs in 15 at-bats against Jeremy Guthrie.

Troy Tulowitzki against anyone right now. He's 5-for-12 versus Homer Bailey.

David Wright has faced Cole Hamels 70 times. He's batting .333 with a 1.008 OPS. He's hit five dongs with 15 RBIs in what looks like a brutal matchup for the struggling Cole Hamels. Daniel Murphy seems likely to find success as well if hit .405-1-7 line is any indication (37 ABs). Might as well toss into the mix Eric Young Jr. as well (.375 with five steals in 24 at-bats).

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Adrian Beltre can't seem to figure out John Lackey. He has three homers and 13 RBIs in the matchup which sounds good, but he's also hitting .219 with a .254 OBP and 14 Ks in 64 at-bats. That's not exactly heartwarming production. Elvis Andrus is also at a bit of a loss against Big John with a .194 average and .219 OBP in 32 plate appearances.

Melky Cabrera has three hits in 18 at-bats against Jered Weaver. Dioner Navarro is equally inept with one hit in 11 at-bats. Heck, Jose Bautista is even worse with one hit in nine at-bats as he's whiffed five times.

Robinson Cano has three homers and six RBIs against Jeremy Guthrie but that is the end of the success for Cano who has hit just .256 with a .289 OBP over 45 plate appearances.

Why dogs are better than people.

Andre Ethier can't hit Tim Hudson (.174) which is a bit surprising since he hasn't struck out once in 23 at-bats. Hanley Ramirez has gone 53 at-bats without a big fly in the matchup while only hitting .264 with 11 Ks. Don't play Miguel Olivo either. He's produced two hits in 20 at-bats.

Jonathon Niese holds down three Phillies in particular. Chase Utley is up first with a .120 batting average in 25 at-bats (only one RBI). Next up is Ryan Howard who is batting .111 with nine punchouts in 18 at-bats. Finally there is Jimmy Rollins who has a mere nine hits in 43 at-bats (.209).

Buster Posey can't hit Clayton Kershaw. Most guys can't, there's no shame in being in that group, but the struggles are still worth noting; Posey has hit .196 with 10 Ks in 46 at-bats. Pablo Sandoval is limping along this season frustrating all his owners in the process. More frustration likely likes ahead Sunday as he's hitting .267 with a .603 OPS in 47 plate appearances against Kershaw. Brandon Belt is horribly unproductive too with a .111 average and 13 punchouts in 27 at-bats. Brandon Crawford has one hit in 14 at-bats (six Ks). The worst though was saved for last. Hunter Pence has three hits in 38 at-bats. He should go to bat with a piano leg since his bat will be useless.  

A whole host of Yankees seemingly have no idea how to hit Matt Garza. Shocking really. Check it. Brett Gardner is batting .235 with six Ks in 17 at-bats. Brian Roberts is batting .129 in 31 at-bats. Mark Teixeira is hitting .095 in 21 at-bats. Carlos Beltran has one hit in 11 at-bats (.091).

Ben Zobrist has no hits in 10 at-bats against Josh Timlin who looked pretty sharp in his first start of the year. Other Rays' who have yet to figure out Tomlin include Desmond Jennings and Yunel Escobar who are operating with 15 hitless at-bats.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Henderson Alvarez has two shutouts in his last four starts and his 2.62 ERA for the year is impressive. He gets to face the Padres in Petco. Seems like a pretty nice setup for the sinkerballer.

Chris Archer has a 3.06 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in three home starts this season. He faces the Indians, a team that isn't exactly a juggernaut offensively. I also broke down why Archer is actually pitching much better than you might be thinking in the Week 6 Mailbag.

Roenis Elias faces a Royals team that has struggled mightily against lefties this season (.232/.296/.312). Elias has 22 Ks in his last three starts and has allowed more than three runs in only one outing.

Tim Hudson has been pouring in strikes this season avoiding walks (only three) and getting ahead in the count. When the Dodgers fall behind in the count they are hitting .179, the 8th worst mark in baseball. They also have a mere .185 OBP which also happens to be the 8th worst mark in baseball. Hudson has a 1.16 ERA in three road starts.

As you read above, domination might not be a strong enough word for what Clayton Kershaw has done against the Giants. In 22 career outings against the Giants he's gone 11-5 with a 1.38 ERA and .0.83 WHIP holding the Giants to a .180 BAA. Clayton threw seven shutout innings in his first start back as well.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Cole Hamels ain't a good play Sunday. Not only do guys like Wright, Murphy and Young of the Mets hammer him, but Cole just isn't quite himself right now. Through three starts he has a poor 2.00 K/BB ratio, and he's allowed 18 hits and six walks leading to 11 runs over his last two outings. That’s about as poorly as he's ever pitched.

Scott Kazmir has been a bright shining star this season. There might be an eclipse Sunday. Kazmir faces the Nationals and they down lefties harder than I down vodka Red Bull's on Saturday night. The Nationals not only have a .369 OBP and .497 SLG against lefties but they are also hitting .313. Kazmir has also added a full run to his ERA his last two starts as he's permitted seven runs and 15 hits in 11 innings.

Shelby Miller threw 5.2 shutout innings against the Pirates on April 25th, but he still owns a 1-5 record, 4.91 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six career outings against them. He's also walked at least three batters in six of seven outings this season. He's hard to trust at the moment.

This is pretty shocking. Current Cardinals batters have hit .372 with a .450 OBP and .496 SLG against Charlie Morton over 113 at-bats. Don't know how you start Morton against that.
 

Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups.


COMMENTS

  • 64x64

    Ray Flowers 10 May 12:06 / Reply

    Kory dumond - Nice to hear you say that. Thanks Kory. The 3 for 1 is fair. Greinke is an SP1 type, and Archer, as I detailed in THE MAILBAG piece this week, is pitching much better than it seems. Simmons is a solid SS/MI option. The others deal gets you two better hurlers, but you also have to toss in Seager. Lets call him and Zobrist a wash. That's Iwa/Gio for Stanton - that's fair given your need.


  • 64x64

    Kory dumond 09 May 17:25 / Reply

    Damn do I dig this site! Quick question Ray regarding Stanton, I am trying to move him in my 12tm H2H auction keeper league.. I currently have an OF of Stanton Puig Brantley Pagan and Melky (we use R/RBI/TB/OPS/E/NSB as hitting cats.) My staff is OK but could use improvement (we use IP/W/TB/KBB/K-9/QS/NSVH as pitching cats.) I have 2 offers as followed; A. Stanton/Seager for Iwakuma/G. Gonzalez/ Zobrist B. Stanton for A. Simmons/Archer/Greinke Would appreciate your input, Thanks for all your hard work


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