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Daily Trends: Weekend Edition, Wk.2

You asked, Ray delivered. Here is his Daily Trends piece looking ahead to Saturday and Sunday.

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Note: This article is being written on Friday. Make sure you check the injury reports and lineups for the weekend before blindly setting your lineup based simply on this piece.

You would also be wise to bookmark the following two sources to check daily after you read this piece.

Fantasy Alarm Lineups

Batter Versus Pitcher

Daily Projections – For every single day of the season.


DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
Brett Gardner has had a nice run of success against John Lackey hitting .355 with a .412 OBP in 31 at-bats. Oddly, he's only swiped one base with Lackey on the bump.

Curtis Granderson takes on fly ball and homer prone Jered Weaver. The matchup has been a huge boon to Curtis over the year as he's hit .370 with a .926 OPS off the righty with five homers in 27 at-bats.

Jason Kubel has hit .391 with a homer against James Shields. He and teammate Brian Dozier are both likely to generate some offense. Dozier is at .375 with a homer against Shields. If you want to stretch to a lesser named player... Eduardo Nunez has hit .389 with two bombs against Shields.

David Ortiz smashes Hiroki Kuroda. Check out the 10 hits in 17 at-bats (.588). Daniel Nava (.348) and Dustin Pedroia (.323) have a wee bit of success as well.

If Troy Tulowitzki is in the lineup for the Rockies he's in your fantasy lineup. He's hit .328 with a 1.046 OPS over 58 at-bats against Matt Cain. Tulo has aldo taken Cain deep four times and Cain dealt with long ball issues in his last start (and really, since the start of last year).

Rickie Weeks has had success against Edison Volquez with two bombs and a .368 batting average over 19 at bats. That average is just slightly better than the .357 mark that Ryan Braun has over 28 at-bats.

Alex Wood is a lefty. Anthony Rendon is nearly a .300 hitter against lefties in his young career. Anthony Rendon currently has a batting average that would make Ty Cob jealous. He's also 5-for-7 versus Wood.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Don't even consider starting Pedro Alvarez Saturday (you would literally be better off starting Travis Snider). In 20 plate appearances against Yovani Gallardo the Pirates' third baseman has one hit and has struck out nine times. Frightful.

Eric Chavez is a lefty. Zack Greinke is a righty. Should be Chavez having success. It's not. He's got a mere single in 14 at-bats.

Adam Dunn has hit .263 against Justin Masterson. How is that a negative you ask? It's a pretty hollow .263, which is something you never associate with Dunn. The big bopper has only one homer in 38 at-bats and he's driven in in a mere three runs while striking out eight times. Teammate Alexi Ramirez is off to a good start this season but don't be fooled in this matchup. He's a hideous option Saturday as he's got eight hits in 49 at-bats against Masterson (.163/.212/.245). As bad as that is Dayan Viciedo is as bad as it can get. Literally. Viciedo has six strikeouts and not a single hit in 14 at-bats vs. Justin.

Given how amazingly talented Carlos Gonzalez is it strains credulity to think that he's hitting .098 with 16 Ks in 41 at-bats versus Matt Cain. Never thought putrid and CarGo would go in the same sentence.

Jonathan Lucroy has two measly singles in 16 at-bats versus Edinson Volquez (.125). Lucroy has always been solid against righties at .272 the past three years but it's lefties he really swats (.330).  

Alfonso Soriano has nine punchouts and has hit .158 in 38 at-bats versus John Lackey.

Colby Rasmus is limping out of the gate causing all the offseason hype to wane. He's not likely to get going Saturday when he takes on Bud Norris who has has four hits and six Ks against in 22 at-bats (.182 average).

Carlos Ruiz has hit .364 in 11 at-bats against Nathan Eovaldi. However, Nathan is hot to start the year and he's also held righties to a .130 average to start the year with nine strikeouts and not a single walk. Sit Ruiz.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Sonny Gray held the Mariners to one earned runs (three scored) over six innings in his last start. He now goes to Seattle to work against the Mariners again. Over 14 career starts he owns a 2.37 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and has 77 punchouts in 76 innings.

Zack Greinke has made two starts. He's allowed two runs in each outing. He has uncharacteristically allowed three homers in the two outings, and that's a wee concern heading to a game in Arizona. Still, Greinke has 13 Ks and just two walks in his 11 innings, and the last time he faced the D'backs he allowed two runs in six innings.

Justin Verlander against anyone is a solid matchup. Transport him to San Diego and he's a great option. The active roster has 16 at-bats against him if my math is right – they don't even know what to expect from the righty from Detroit. It could be a blood bath for the Padres.

Alex Wood. He may not be able to get Mr. Rendon out, but he's having a lot of success otherwise against the Nationals. Last time out he allowed two runs without issuing a walk over seven innings (April 6th). That effort ran his three start numbers against the Braves to a 1.50 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 8.00 K/BB ratio.

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Jarred Cosart has made 12 starts and has a 2.28 ERA. Amazing right? He's also operating on about as much borrowed time as anyone could be. He simply doesn't deserve that ERA number, not even close, not with a 5.1 K/9 mark and, literally, one more strikeout (40) than walk (39) in his career. Take a look at his last outing against the Angels as a warning (5 ER, 4 BBs).

Nathan Eovaldi has been great with 14 strikeouts, no walks and a 1.00 WHIP through two starts. So why is he on the no fly list? To this point lefties are batting .346 with a .893 OPS against him. The last three seasons he's allowed lefties to bat .288 with a .366 OBP. He's just not great against portsiders. The Phillies can run out there Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Domonic Brown.

Erasmo Ramirez has allowed one homer and held current Athletics to a .216 batting average. However, he's the owner of a 4.43 ERA for his career at home and through two starts this season he hasn't exactly been sharp allowing a 1.45 WHIP and two bombs in two starts (one of those starts was against the A's and led to five earned runs in just four innings).

James Shields is one of my absolute favorites. Not so much on Saturday. The last time he faced the Twins it was one run over 7.1 innings, but for the majority of his career he's not gotten it done againts the Twinkies. Sure he's 7-3 but he's got a 4.20 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and barely a 2:1 K/BB ratio. There's also this. Here are his numbers against current Twins: .306/.370/.476 in 170 at-bats.

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DISH DIAMONDS – The Best Hitting Matchups of the Day
Ryan Braun is someone that Charlie Morton hasn't been able to figure out. In 14 plate appearances Braun has a homer, five RBIs an a .545/.643/.909 slash line.

Chris Carter has taken Martin Perez deep twice while rapping out six hits in 11 at-bats. Carter has also hit 14 bombs in just 288 career at-bats versus lefties. Perhaps the matchup will wake up his slumbering bat.

Adrian Gonzalez has nine hits, including a bomb, in 20 at-bats versus Trevor Cahill. Will Cahill make the start for the D'backs is the question?

Line up this duo against Kyle Lohse: Jose Tabata (13-for-26) and Neil Walker (.417-1-8 in 24 ABs). Heck, let's toss Pedro Alvarez in there too (.320 with a homer in 25 at-bats).

Any Oriole versus Mark Buehrle seems like a solid bet Sunday. Nick Markakis (.447), Chris Davis (.429), Adam Jones (.391), Delmon Young (.357) and Matt Wieters (.316) mash the soft tossing lefty. The five-some also has nine homers.

Just realized I hadn't dropped in one nugget yet. Problem solved. My homeland of Denmark sure did things right with Nina Agdal.

Yadier Molina might not be able to throw Billy Hamilton out on the bases but he sure knows what to do with the baseball when Edwin Jackson is throwing it as he seems to barrel up everything. In 25 matchups Molina has hit a whopping .522 with three homers and eight RBIs.

Mike Trout isn't impressed with Bartolo Colon. He has two homers and seven hits in 14 at-bats.

Finally a matchup Joe Mauer might be able to exploit. He's produced a .389 average and six RBIs against Jason Vargas over just 18 at-bats.

DISH DISASTERS – Worst Hitting Matchups of the Day

Robinson Cano can't hit Scott Kazmir. Really? Really. Not only is he batting .206 with a .226 OBP but he's also struck out 12 times in 34 at-bats. Oddly, he does have three big flies.

Edwin Encarnacion had a solid spring but he's a mess right now. Ubaldo Jimenez can be a mess, but when he's locked in even good hitters can have trouble. Plus, EE is a veritable whiff machine right now, and we know Ubaldo can get punchouts. In 13 at-bats EE is batting .231 off Jimenez. That is light years ahead of slugging teammate Jose Bautista who has only one hit and one walk off Ubaldo in 20 plate appearances.

Nate McLouth better just not suit up Sunday. Not only does he have 12 whiffs in 33 at-bats versus Aaron Harang but he also has only four hits (.121). Speaking of Nats to avoid, Jayson Werth should be riding the pine too (3-for-19 with 9 Ks).

Howie Kendrick is impressed with Bartolo Colon. He has one hit in 19 at-bats.

I see Kyle Kendrick on the hill and think you have to be licking your chops if you own Giancarlo Stanton. The numbers say the exact opposite though as Stanton has only three hits and seven punchouts in 18 at-bats versus the righty.

Carlos Santana is hitting right about his weight as of this writing. He's also just 1-for-10 against Jose Quintana (the same numbers as Asdrubal Cabrera by the way). He's also hit just .231 with a sub .650 OPS in 31 games at U.S. Cellular Field.

Dan Uggla is a decent play versus Gio Gonzalez if you are in an OBP league (.391 vs. the lefty). However, if you're in a traditional league leave him on the sidelines. He's got one hit in 15 at-bats and has whiffed six times.

Josh Willingham doesn't like soft tossing lefties? Not if the name on that guys jersey is Jason Vargas. Willingham has just two hits, and seven strikeouts, over 19 at-bats.

MOUND MAVENS – Starting Pitchers to Target

Aaron Harang starts at your own risk. He's allowed four hits and just one run through two starts while striking out 12 in 12.2 inning. He did have success in his last start against the Nationals, three earned runs and 10 Ks in six innings, but I keep focusing on that 5.76 ERA over 22 starts with the Mariners last season.

Scott Kazmir has tossed two quality starts in two outings. He did walk four batters in his last game which isn't good at all, but here are some other numbers. Last year in two starts versus the Mariners he had a 1.09 WHIP. He's allowed only two homers in his last 15 starts while compiling a 3.16 ERA. Seattle ain't an awful place to pitch either.

Kyle Kendrick is a suggestion, not because of any inherent logic (I have to admit I would never start him), but because of what the numbers suggest. In two starts this year he has a 3.75 ERA. The last time he took on the Marlins had allowed two runs in a complete game. Over 101 innings against the Marlins he has a 3.48 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Your call here.

Ivan Nova allowed seven runs in his last outing. The last time he faced Boston he only made it through four innings allowing five runs (four earned). In eight outings against the Red Sox he has been blasted to the tune of a 5.50 ERA, 1.70 WHIP and .303 batting. Glutton for punishment anyone?

MOUND MESSES – Starting Pitchers to Avoid

Henderson Alvarez has a borderline dynamic right arm. He's also impossible to trust. Not only does he own a mere 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 4.50 K/9 mark for his career, but he's also just 15-25. He keeps the ball down so homers aren't likely to be an issue, but pitching in Philly could change that if he gets the ball up in the zone. I don't know how it is possible to have that big an arm and to strike out only 4.50 batters per game. Just boggles the mind.

Mark Buehrle has never been that guy. Don't let the 0.64 ERA or 14 Ks in 14 innings fool you. The last time he faced the Orioles had recorded 10 outs while allowing three runs and 10 base runners. Current Orioles have mashed him too with a .320/.355/.902 slash line. In this 203 at-bats current Orioles batters have performed like Andrew McCutchen.

Ubaldo Jimenez has success against the two biggest bats the Blue Jays have, you just read about that, so he's off to a good start against Toronto. Still, it's always risky though with Ubaldo, you never know from start to start, and he has walked eight batters while allowing 13 hits over his first 10.2 innings. He's best left on your bench Sunday.

Kyle Lohse walked five times last time he took the hill which is very uncharacteristic for the control artist. The last time he faced the Pirates he allowed five runs and 13 hits in 5.1 innings. I mentioned above how a couple of Pirates hammer him as well. Not worth it when there is little upside to his game.

Make sure you tune in to the Fantasy Alarm's Daily Game Show at 6 PM EDT, Monday through Friday on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius210, XM87) as Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster will help you to set your daily lineups.


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    rafael 13 Apr 21:48 / Reply

    Good night. Since I resolved the problem. You have to be a member to read the article. Thanks Mr Ray.   Greetings.

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    flowers 13 Apr 12:55 / Reply

    Dan - I think you're right about Rollins. I would pass on the deal.

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    Pedro 13 Apr 12:54 / Reply

    Cannot see it, looks like Rafael has the same problem. Will try again. Gracias/Saludos

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    flowers 13 Apr 12:54 / Reply

    Rafael - Do you have access to the Assistant GM product? That's like why you cannot access the rest of the article. Find out how to get it here -

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    flowers 13 Apr 12:49 / Reply

    Pedro - The Sunday Daily Trends piece is page 2 of this article. You an see it, correct?

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    flowers 13 Apr 12:48 / Reply

    Darren - Thanks for the kind words Darren. Good either/or's. I go Hill and Upton. The OF = Morse is always hurt, hard to trust. Still, he's off to a good start even though he's in a bad home hitters park. Upton still has the fantasy upside, though he's a rough trust right now.

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    Pedro 13 Apr 09:54 / Reply

    Hello Ray... Are you there?? We all are waiting for Sunday's trends!!! . Saludos

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    rafael 12 Apr 23:50 / Reply

    Hello Sir Ray. I can not open the page of the trends of the day Sunday. Help. I give the arrow and not open.

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    Darren 12 Apr 13:24 / Reply

    Hello Ray, loving the new website! I have two who'd you rather: #1 Hill or Rendon #2 BJ Upton or Morse thanks

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    Dan 11 Apr 20:23 / Reply

    Ray I'm not usually one to take early season trade offers but the following was offered to me in a points league with quality starts. His: Shields/Pedroia/Rollins for my: Adam Jones/Prado/Samardzija My concern is that I give up some position flexibility with Prado, and that Rollins is essentially a bench player/borderline waiver wire fodder in a 12 team league.. thoughts?

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