Every year the fine fellows over at KFFL.com invite me to participate in KFFL's Fantasy Baseball Analysis Draft (BAD). Every year my team fails to impress. In fact, this is likely the outlet I've been saddled with my worst fantasy baseball results the past three years. Not really sure why that is. I can put my finger on two things. (1) Sometimes your teams just stink because players under-perform or are injured. (2) This is a slow draft, and by that I mean we draft at a pace of a couple of picks a day for a few weeks versus sitting down and pounding it out in one three hour time frame. Perhaps I analyze things too much in this setup with all the extra time is available to think about the direction the draft is going, whereas I just let 'er rip when I'm doing a draft at one time? Perhaps I just stink at drafting no matter the format. OK, we all know that last one isn't remotely possible, so it must be #1 or #2.
Regardless of my past failures, I'm back again to make my mark, hopefully in a positive way this time, in the 2014 K-BAD event. In what follows you will see how my team came together (thanks to KFFL for letting me post all of this info in one spot). If you want to see how the entire draft played out here is the link for that. Before getting to my team analysis, here's the type of league you will be reading about.
15 teams, 28 rounds -- Rosters
Mixed league -- MLB player universe
5x5 rotisserie -- R, HR, RBI, SB, BA; W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP
HITTERS (14): 2 C, 1 1B, 1 2B, 1 3B, 1 SS, 1 CI, 1 MI, 5 OF, 1 UT
BENCH: Five players
2 DL spots
How did Team FantasyAlarm/BaseballGuys turn out? Let's find out.
Round 1 – Ray Flowers
OF, Andrew McCutchen, Pittsburgh Pirates
Many will go with Paul Goldschmidt at #3 overall. The reason I didn't? I'm not sure we should be counting on 15 steals from Paul, and I could see his batting average dipping into the .280-290 range pretty easy. McC also has a monster season in him. I know it.
Round 2 – Ray Flowers
OF, Justin Upton, Atlanta Braves
Some might see this as too early. While it might be, I'm still a believer in the talent and I'm comfortable with his track record of durability. Let's not overlook that he is only 26 years old, and he's been pretty damn effective despite failing to fulfill expectations. For more see his Player Profile.
Round 3 – Ray Flowers
OF, Alex Rios, Texas Rangers
Two homers from a 20/40 season last year Rios is a fairly dynamic option, and this selection gives me three elite level outfielders in my first three picks. I really wanted Jose Reyes here, I considered grabbing him in Round 2 actually, but I lost out on him by one pick. Damn it, though Rios is an excellent fall back choice.
Round 4 – Ray Flowers
3B, Ryan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals
After taking three outfielders it was time to look to the infield. I had four players to take at this spot – Joe Mauer, Carlos Santana, Elvis Andrus or Zimmerman – and it's obvious which direction I went. Hopefully one of the other three will fall back to me in Round 5 since there are only four more selections before my next pick.
Round 5 – Ray Flowers
SS, Elvis Andrus, Texas Rangers
All three of the guys I wanted ended up falling to me in the 5th. We start two catchers and that made the backstops very enticing, and there were still plenty of decent SS options left but it really came down to my personal preference for the stability of Andrus over Mauer.
Round 6 – Ray Flowers
OF, Desmond Jennings, Tampa Bay Rays
This was a tough puck. I love the upside play of Jennings, a 20/20 season is possible, and he is my 4th outfielder (see his Player Profile). I took the chance that one of the two catchers I wanted – Matt Wieters and Jonathan Lucroy – would still be there in Round 7.
Round 7 – Ray Flowers
C, Jonathan Lucroy, Milwaukee Brewers
This might be a bit early to go in on Lucroy, maybe not (see his Player Profile). The fact is that catchers are likely to start to go, and in a 15 team league I don't want to get shut out since we start two. Not an overly crazy stretch to think a .290-20 season is possible for Lucroy who has a very stable skill set.
Round 8 – Ray Flowers
SP, Kris Medlen, Atlanta Braves
My first starting pitcher of the draft, an a good one at that. Many seem to miss the fact that over the last two years not many have been better in the ratio categories as Medlen owns a 2.47 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 335 innings.
Round 9 – Ray Flowers
SP, Homer Bailey, Cincinnati Reds
Back-to-back pitchers after going hitters for the first seven rounds. Bailey has been extremely stable the last two seasons and last year he posted a 3.49 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 199 Ks. All he needs to join the elite is to up his victory total.
Round 10 – Ray Flowers
SP, Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds
Could have gone with Matt Moore for the Ks, but Cueto is a nice get at this point. If he stays healthy, and IF should be in caps, he has the skills to be a top-15 option in ERA and WHIP, and that slots in pretty nicely as my third starting pitcher.