Below are stacks to consider for Friday’s 14-game main slate.

The Chalk

There are three teams with an expected run total of six runs or more in Vegas tonight, the Rockies, Rangers and Dodgers. The reasons to like those teams jump off the page, which is obviously why their expected run totals are so high.

The Rockies are at home tonight against Matt Garza whose 6.60 xFIP in the second half is the worst xFIP since the Break of any of today’s probable starters. The Rangers are also at home in their hitter-friendly park against James Shields who has a 6.96 ERA in six starts since the Break. It’s also going to be typically hot and humid in Texas tonight, which favors hitters. And then the Dodgers, who trail only the Astros in park-adjusted offense this year, will face Jordan Zimmermann and his 5.62 season ERA (5.33 xFIP) as well as the terrible Tiger bullpen, which ranks last in the league in ERA and xFIP.

Ownership percentages for most guys on these teams are likely to be high, so going heavy with stacks from these teams in GPPs probably isn’t a winning strategy. But getting exposure to these teams in cash games with some mini-stacks is a good idea, and filling in the leftover spots in your GPP lineups with hitters from these teams is the play.

Cleveland Indians

We’re not completely out of chalk territory here as the Indians still have an expected run total higher than five, but with the seventh highest expected run total, the Indians aren’t so obvious as to be disqualified from GPP consideration.

The reason to like the Tribe tonight is homer potential against Ian Kennedy. Kennedy is one of the more homer-friendly probable starters today as he ranks third among today’s probables in fly ball rate this season and second in percentage of hard contact allowed. As a result, his HR/9 this year is 1.65, and it has been above 1.50 each of the last three seasons.

The Indians with the most pop against right-handed pitching are Jay Bruce, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Ramirez and Carlos Santana, who all have an ISO north of .200 vs. RHP this season. Ramirez was removed from Thursday’s doubleheader after getting hit by a pitch in Game 1, so his availability is in question. But if Ramirez is in the lineup, those four will likely hit three through six in the order.

Washington Nationals

We’re now officially out of chalk territory as the Nationals have the seventh lowest expected run total in Vegas tonight. They’ll be in San Diego facing Luis Perdomo. Presumably Vegas is down on the Nats because they’re playing in San Diego and perhaps because they’re sans Bryce Harper, but neither of those factors are good reasons to be down on Washington tonight.

For one thing, San Diego has not played as a pitcher’s park like you might expect this season. According to Tony Blengino of Fangraphs, San Diego’s park factor is largely dependent on the marine layer in San Diego, which varies from year to year. Apparently, it’s a hitter-friendly kind of marine layer this season. There are also hard field conditions in San Diego which help grounders and line drives play up for hitters. TLDR: Don’t fade Nats because of Petco.

As for the lack of Harper, the Nats still have seven non-Harper guys on the active roster with at least 140 PA against right-handed pitching this season and a wRC+ of 107 or better. Five of those seven have been at least 20 percent better than average against righties this season. The Nats do not lack sufficient options for a stack simply because Harper is on the shelf.

Perdomo is also a friendly pitcher to stack against because he struggles with hitters from both sides of the plate. His wOBA allowed to lefties this season is expectedly high at .376, but he also has a .323 wOBA allowed to righties, which is below average among today’s probable starters. Quite a few of those seven Nats with above average numbers against right-handed pitching are right-handed themselves, so it’s important that Perdomo isn’t lethal when hitters don’t have the platoon advantage against him.