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2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base

2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base

Slide 1 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 1 FantasyAlarm.com

Evan Longoria, 3B (TB)--22.42 ADP

For the first time in three seasons, Longoria was able to play more than 150 games and it really showed in his final stat line for his fantasy owners. Although his batting average was six points below his career mark (.269 BA), he hit the second-most home runs of his career (32 HR) hitting in the heart of the Rays lineup. When you hit for power at a high rate, that usually means an individual is swings for the fences more than most, resulting in an increase in strikeout rate. That was clearly the case for Longoria, who set a career-high with 162 strikeouts while posting a five-year low 0.53 BB/K rate in 2013. I know those aren't numbers you want to see, but those negative numbers actually mean he is being more aggressive at the plate, which you want to see from a middle of the order hitter. According to current ADP results, Longoria is the second player being drafted at his position, behind only Adrian Beltre, and slightly ahead of David Wright. Of the three top players at third base, I think that the recent draftees have it right, with Longoria being slotted slightly ahead of David Wright. As long as Longoria can continue having a clean bill of health, there is no reason to think he can't push for 30-plus home runs for the third time in four seasons. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

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Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 2 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 2 FantasyAlarm.com

David Wright, 3B (NYM)--24.68 ADP

As mentioned in the Evan Longoria write-up, Wright is currently being drafted third overall among third baseman, this coming after playing in only 112 games in 2013. Despite missing almost a third of the team's games, Wright was still able to hit 18 home runs and drive in 58 RBI while supporting a .308 batting average, appearing to be on his way to setting career-highs in a few categories. What was even more impressive was the fact he converted 17 of his 20 stolen base attempts, finishing the year with a 0.85 SB%. His ability to hit for both power and batting average, and still produce on the base paths makes Wright an elite player at his position, although he has played in 150 games only twice in the last five seasons. After Wright, there is a serious drop off in value at third base, with Ryan Zimmerman falling to around the fifth round in recent ADP reports. The fact that Wright was able finish out the season after missing almost two months of action following a hamstring injury is definitely a plus, as the injury does not appear to be anything that will carry over into 2014. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

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Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 3 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 3 FantasyAlarm.com

Ryan Zimmerman, 3B (WAS)--61.23

Although Zimmerman has been one of the more productive players at his position over the course of his career, he is always overshadowed by his inability to stay on the field. The last time Zimmerman was able to play in over 150 games was 2009, which was the best all around season of his career, but he has still been able to produce despite many years of injuries. For the fourth time in five years, Zimmerman was able to hit over 25 home runs, but the Nationals had a difficult time getting runners on base, so his runs batted-in total took a hit, finishing with only 79 RBI in 2013. If you look at the production from the top three players at third base (Adrian Beltre, Evan Longoria and David Wright), Zimmerman has the ability to finish with close to the same results, but at a discounted price based on his laundry list of injuries over the course of his career.

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 4 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 4 FantasyAlarm.com

Pedro Alvarez, 3B (PIT)--82.30 ADP

His maturation to the big leagues may have taken longer than originally expected, but Alvarez has now put together back-to-back 30 home run seasons and his ADP has risen along with his value to the Pirates.  Last year at this time, Alvarez was sitting with an ADP of 187.05, and whoever was able to get him at that position should consider themselves lucky, considering it is very difficult to get 36 home runs and 100 RBI in the 15th round of a 12-team league. Looking ahead into 2014, there is no reason to think that he will not finish with his third straight 30-plus home run season, especially if you dig deeper into his productive over the last two seasons. Alvarez is supporting a AB/HR of under 20.0 over that time frame, while continuing to his more fly balls, posting his third straight decrease in his GB/FB rate. as long as these trends continue his recent production should become his floor rather than his ceiling. Outside of points leagues which take away for strikeouts (186 K in 2013), Alvarez is a great alternative if you miss out of one of the top five at third base.

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 5 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 5 FantasyAlarm.com

Manny Machado, 3B (BAL)--109.49 ADP

This Orioles' youngster was on his way to having a great season in his first year as a starter, but a horrific leg injury cut his season short, which has led to a significant drop in his ADP slot. Machado suffered a torn medial patelloformal ligament in late September and was slated for a four-to-six month rehabilitation assignment. According to recent reports, barring any setbacks Machado will be ready for Opening Day, but there are still many questions as to whether he will play at the level he was at prior to the injury. Hopefully this does not set him back too much in his progression, considering he was playing at a Gold Glove level over the course of his young career. At the plate, Machado was a doubles machine, leading all hitter in that category for most of the season, which in return led to quality production in both his batting average (.283 BA) and runs batted-in (71 RBI). If he wants to get to the next level in terms of fantasy value, a drop in his GB/FB rate would be needed, posting a 0.99 GB/FB rate over 858 career at-bats. With everything considered, Machado's current ADP is fair, but I will have to see how he moves on the field before I am willing to take a risk on him coming off of a very serious injury. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 6 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 6 FantasyAlarm.com

Chase Headley, 3B (SD)--148.88 ADP

Headley failed to repeat his 2012 breakout season, and in return, his ADP took a hit, dropping almost 100 points from reports from a year ago at this time. To me, this can be taken taken ways. Either Headley is an extreme value or just maybe his breakout campaign was a fluke. According to current ADP reports, Headley is still considered top 10 at his position, although many media outlets may not be so high on him, and for good reason. For starters, Headley had only 36 home runs prior to hitting 31 in 2012, and the sample size leading up to his breakout was not small either (1,883 at-bats). What we saw a season ago, was more of what he had shown us from 2009-11 so if you take that into consideration it appears maybe his 2013 production is what we should expect. Which is fine, but taking him anywhere outside of the 12th round or so would not be wise in my opinion. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 7 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 7 FantasyAlarm.com

Pablo Sandoval, 3B (SF)--154.26 ADP

It was another mediocre season for Sandoval in 2013, which made for the second straight season in which he failed to reach 20 home runs and hit for a .300 batting average. There were stories earlier this offseason reporting that Sandoval had lost over 40 pounds, and the last time this type of report came out, he ended up having one of the best seasons of his career. Sandoval is now entering his prime, and at his current ADP slot, it would be very difficult to pass up on a player with his skill set. I know the ballpark isn't appealing to fantasy owners and the fact that maybe it isn't just his weight that causes issues for him on and off the field, but we all know what he is capable of if he can keep his head straight for an entire season. If he comes into Spring Training and is able to produce well, his ADP is going to rise, and if it does, he is still a good value pick in the mid-rounds of 12-team standard leagues. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 8 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 8 FantasyAlarm.com

Brett Lawrie, 3B (TOR)--154.54 ADP

Since being called up in 2011, the Blue Jays have yet to get a full season out of Lawrie, who continues to be plagues with injuries in the early stages of his career. Lawrie struggled in the first half of the season, but most of it was lost due to injury, leading to a .204 batting average pre All-Star Break. However, the second half was a different story, posting a .283 batting average and was able to stay off the injury report. His other counting stats have yet to really translate to the big league level, but he has been consistent in the power categories in just over two full seasons which could increase significantly if he can reach 500-plus at-bats. Currently, Lawrie is being drafted just outside of the top 10 among players at his position, making him a decent value for those who waited at the position. While he has yet to play a full season, things are looking up for Lawrie, who is still only 24-years-old in 2014. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 9 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 9 FantasyAlarm.com

Nolan Arenado, 3B (COL)--169.86 ADP

Despite the low ADP, Arenado is one of the up-in-coming stars at the hot corner, and could take the next step in his development in 2014. In 133 games following his promotion, Arenado finished with 10 home runs, 52 RBI and a .267 batting average which is very respectable for a 22-year-old. Now that he has a season under his belt, he will now be able to devote more of his time to the offensive side of his game, which playing his home games at Coors Field could lead to a breakout season in just his second year. Although the hype surrounding him, he ADP does not indicate that many draftees are ready to buy-in on him just yet, but considering the drop off after the top five, there may be more weight placed on the top third basemen this season. Whatever the case, Arenado is going to be a big time player eventually, and if his minor league production can catch up to him at this level, he could end up being a steal in this year's drafts.

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

Slide 10 of 10 2014 Fantasy Baseball ADP Report: Third Base | Slide - 10 FantasyAlarm.com

Nick Castellanos, 3B (DET)--255.31 ADP

In an effort to ditch some payroll, the Tigers moved Prince Fielder this offseason, which will move Miguel Cabrera back to first base, opening the door for Castellanos to play his natural position of third base. Prior to the trade, the Tigers were planning on using Castellanos in the outfield, so in most fantasy leagues he is going to qualify as an outfielder to start the season prior to gaining multiple position eligibility. In his years in the minors, Castellanos has shown that he has power upside, hitting 18 home runs for Triple-A Toledo a season ago before getting a call up to the big leagues in September. Obviously there is going to be patience needed when considering drafting a rookie, but at his current ADP, there is really nothing to lose. 

ADP Source: National Fantasy Baseball Championship

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.


COMMENTS

  • 64x64

    Peter V 17 Feb 11:56 / Reply

    Not sure what is going on here, but you missed Adrian Beltre.


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