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Start 'em If You Own 'em

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent

Second Start/Opponent

Johnny Cueto  CIN

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. CHC

@ PIT

 

Edwin Jackson  CHC

Francisco Liriano  PIT

Madison Bumgarner  SF

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. COL

vs. MIL

 

Jorge De La Rosa  COL

Jimmy Nelson  MIL

Alex Cobb  TB

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ BAL

vs. BOS

 

Wei-Yin Chen  BAL

Clay Buchholz  BOS

James Shields  KC

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

vs. NYY

vs. CLE

 

Michael Pineda  NYY

Trevor Bauer  CLE

Lance Lynn  STL

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ PIT

vs. CHC

 

Gerrit Cole  PIT

Travis Wood  CHC

Tanner Roark  WAS

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ PHI

@ SEA

 

A.J. Burnett  PHI

Roenis Elias  SEA

Alex Wood  ATL

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ NYM

vs. MIA

 

Dillon Gee  NYM

Jarred Cosart  MIA

Rick Porcello  DET

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. NYY

@ CHW

 

Brandon McCarthy  NYY

Hector Noesi  CHW

John Lackey  STL

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

@ PIT

vs. CHC

 

Francisco Liriano  PIT

Tsuyoshi Wada  CHC

Jake Odorizzi Tampa Bay RaysThe top tier is a little wobbly this week. Not to say I wouldn't start any of these pitchers in both their scheduled appearances, it's just that as we head into the end of August, I would be happier if these SPs were producing with same consistency they showed earlier this season (looking at you, Mr. Porcello). Even given those qualifications, I would go for any of these pitchers this week, no matter the opponent or venue, and accept the results.

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Maybe Yes, Maybe No

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent

Second Start/Opponent

Chris Tillman  BAL

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

vs. TB

vs. MIN

 

Jake Odorizzi  TB

Kyle Gibson  MIN

Danny Duffy  KC

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. MIN

vs. CLE

 

Ricky Nolasco  MIN

T.J. House  CLE

Jake Odorizzi  TB

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

@ BAL

vs. BOS

 

Chris Tillman  BAL

Allen Webster  BOS

Matt Shoemaker  LAA

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. MIA

vs. OAK

 

Nathan Eovaldi  MIA

Jeff Samardzija  OAK

Roenis Elias  SEA

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. TEX

vs. WAS

 

Miles Mikolas  TEX

Tanner Roark  WAS

Eric Stults  SD

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. MIL

vs. LAD

 

Jimmy Nelson  MIL

Kevin Correia  LAD

Wei-Yin Chen  BAL

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. TB

vs. MIN

 

Alex Cobb  TB

Ricky Nolasco  MIN

Brandon McCarthy  NYY

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ DET

@ TOR

 

Rick Porcello  DET

J.A. Happ  TOR

Jose Quintana  CHW

8/26/2014

8/30/2014

 

vs. CLE

vs. DET

 

T.J. House  CLE

Max Scherzer  DET

Francisco Liriano  PIT

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. STL

vs. CIN

 

John Lackey  STL

Johnny Cueto  CIN

Jake Peavy  SF

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

vs. COL

vs. MIL

 

Tyler Matzek  COL

Mike Fiers  MIL

Travis Wood  CHC

8/27/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ CIN

@ STL

 

David Holmberg  CIN

Lance Lynn  STL

Michael Pineda  NYY

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

@ KC

@ TOR

 

James Shields  KC

Drew Hutchison  TOR

Scott Feldman  HOU

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

vs. OAK

vs. TEX

 

Jason Hammel  OAK

Miles Mikolas  TEX

Jeff Samardzija  OAK

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ HOU

@ LAA

 

Dallas Keuchel  HOU

Matt Shoemaker  LAA

Dallas Keuchel  HOU

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. OAK

vs. TEX

 

Jeff Samardzija  OAK

Nick Martinez P TEX

Jorge De La Rosa  COL

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ SF

@ ARI

 

Madison Bumgarner  SF

Chase Anderson  ARI

Jimmy Nelson  MIL

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ SD

@ SF

 

Eric Stults  SD

Madison Bumgarner  SF

T.J. House  CLE

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ CHW

@ KC

 

Jose Quintana  CHW

Danny Duffy  KC

Some good options this week in the middle tier, especially the top sub-tier, which opens with Tillman and wraps up with McCarthy. Tillman gives his owners the sought after strikeout capability, having put up a very nice 40:6 K/BB ratio over his past seven starts covering 46.1 innings. That he threw six QS over those seven starts helps to cement his as the leader of the middle tier this scoring period. Duffy is another pitcher having a good run currently, although he doesn't pitch as deep into games as does Tillman and the strikeout numbers are not as consistent. Odorizzi has a nice three game streak going, since he was roughed up at the beginning of August by the Angels. He has accumulated 23 Ks over his last 19.2 innings, and he has been good at limiting both hits and free passes. He has really come into his own this season and should be going higher in drafts next season. Shoemaker continues to deny expectations based on his sub-par minor league results, as he deals for the Angels. In his last nine starts, he has posted a 2.54 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and is very nearly striking out a batter per inning. Maybe it is just a one season burst of goodness, but I would suggest you take advantage of his performance while it lasts. Elias is prolly going to be shut down at some point, or have his innings per start limited. If you can accept a five inning SP, who provides nice strikeout numbers, then Elias is worth an add. Stults has racked up wins in three of his last four starts, and has done it by limiting hits and for the most part harnessing his control. He also has been a decent strikeout option recently.  Chen continues to be an unspectacular pitching option, but also keeps on providing wins for his owners. He has also been striking out a batter per inning of late. With the Orioles in the playoff mix, he is a fine SP option going forward. McCarthy has prospered since he moved to the Yankees, collecting strikeouts, showing excellent control and has six QS over his nine starts for the Yankees.

The second sub-tier begins with Quintana and goes down through Pineda. Quintana has yielded four earned runs in each of his past two starts, a disturbing trend after allowing two or less earned runs in nine out of ten games prior to that, and the sole exception was still a QS. Facing division foes this week, I look for him to bounce back.  Liriano was hit hard by the Braves at home in his last start, but prior to that, had been on a five game QS streak, where he rolled up 34 Ks over 33 innings. Peavy finally strung together a couple victories, as he allowed only three earned runs over his past 14 innings, while racking up 11 strikeouts (eight in his last outing versus the Cubs). I am not recommending you go all in on him, but if he has harnessed his control and figured out how to miss bats again, then he could become useful. Wood can be great, but then again, he also has the ability to be truly mediocre or even awful. I don't really like his match ups this week, and would suggest avoiding him at either Cincinnati or St. Louis. Pineda has been effective since coming back from the DL, giving up two and one earned runs in his starts, although the strikeouts aren't exactly pouring in. He is showing great control, and despite the lack of Ks, he is a decent add just based on his potential.

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The final sub-tier starts with Feldman and is complete with House. Feldman was the winning pitcher over the Yankees in his last start, but it is his potential to give up a boatload of runs without warning. His home/away splits are pretty much even, so this week, I don't like his initial start against the A's, but would consider using him at home against the Rangers. Samardzija has struggled some since he was traded to the A's, I mentioned mediocrity earlier in discussing his former teammate Wood, and the Oakland experience has been just that for Samardzija. Until he can string together a couple of decent outings, I would let him sit on the bench. Keuchel, another Astro SP that occasionally just cannot miss bats. He has been more dependable than Feldman of late, but the fact that the Rangers roughed him up in his worst start out of the past seven appearances makes me hesitate to use him in any of his starts this week. De La Rosa goes up and down with his strikeout production, and his team is struggling, so he is not exactly a top-notch SP option going forward. He's away from Coors for the next two starts, but the second is at Arizona, and that could be nasty. Plus his home/away splits favor him at home. Go figure  Nelson was coming off a five consecutive QS streak, before allowing four earned runs to the Blue Jays. His potential is huge, but he isn't a top-level strikeout guy yet. I am buying in, but he will come at a slight discount next season, so keep him on your radar. House wraps up the final sub-tier. He provides some strikeout potential, but has not been able to pitch deep in games, so that drops his value for me. He is facing division opponents this week, so that gives him some additional value, but not that much.

Not On My Roster

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent

Second Start/Opponent

Jason Hammel  OAK

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

@ HOU

@ LAA

 

Scott Feldman  HOU

TBA

A.J. Burnett  PHI

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. WAS

@ NYM

 

Tanner Roark  WAS

Dillon Gee  NYM

Clay Buchholz  BOS

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ TOR

@ TB

 

J.A. Happ  TOR

Alex Cobb  TB

Jarred Cosart  MIA

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ LAA

@ ATL

 

TBA

Alex Wood  ATL

J.A. Happ  TOR

8/25/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. BOS

vs. NYY

 

Clay Buchholz  BOS

Brandon McCarthy  NYY

Dillon Gee  NYM

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. ATL

vs. PHI

 

Alex Wood  ATL

A.J. Burnett  PHI

Hector Noesi  CHW

8/27/2014

8/31/2014

 

vs. CLE

vs. DET

 

Corey Kluber  CLE

Rick Porcello  DET

Ricky Nolasco  MIN

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ KC

@ BAL

 

Danny Duffy  KC

Wei-Yin Chen  BAL

Tyler Matzek  COL

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

@ SF

@ ARI

 

Jake Peavy  SF

Vidal Nuno  ARI

Nick Martinez P TEX

8/26/2014

8/31/2014

 

@ SEA

@ HOU

 

James Paxton  SEA

Dallas Keuchel  HOU

Miles Mikolas  TEX

8/25/2014

8/30/2014

 

@ SEA

@ HOU

 

Roenis Elias  SEA

Scott Feldman  HOU

This is a large tier this scoring period, and as I assembled it, I was disappointed with the top two members, especially. Hammel is in danger of losing his rotation spot soon, and Burnett is already talking about retirement with over a month to go in the season. I would have to be in a super deep league to trust any of these guys, and fortunately, I don't.

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Should you have questions regarding fantasy baseball, especially starting pitching, you can reach me at ia@fantasyalarm.com to continue the discussion.




Comments

Miguel Enguidanos 

I'm going to make the playoffs with a week to go in a standard roto 5x5. Do I hang onto Darvish? I could use the DL spot for Doolittle. I can pick-up Ryu, Tillman, Peralta and Tanaka

Miguel Enguidanos 

I'm going to make the playoffs with a week to go in a standard roto 5x5. Do I hang onto Darvish? I could use the DL spot for Doolittle.


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About Ivar G. Anderson

I have actively played fantasy sports since 2004, when I was roped into competing in an auto-pick football league on Yahoo. My devotion, and number of teams has continued to grow to the present. I began writing about fantasy sports for FantasyGameday in 2008, and was recruited to join the FantasyAlarm team in 2011, where I cover Starting Pitching on the baseball side of things, and publish a weekly IDP Report and NFL Weather Report weekly during the football season. I can be reached by e-mail at: ia@fantasyalarm.com and my Twitter handle is: @johnwhorfin

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