Unlike last week, there are a whole bushel full of starting pitchers I want no part of this week, either as two-start options or for streaming purposes, as evidenced by the bloated third tier. Fortunately, we do have significant depth in the two-start category, and it seems wise to just get to the analysis, so let's do that.

Start 'em If You Own 'em

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent

Second Start/Opponent

David Price   TB

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ NYY

@ DET

 

Hiroki Kuroda   NYY

Rick Porcello   DET

Garrett Richards   LAA

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

@ CHW

vs. HOU

 

Hector Noesi   CHW

Collin McHugh   HOU

Scott Kazmir   OAK

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

@ DET

vs. TOR

 

Anibal Sanchez   DET

Mark Buehrle   TOR

Jordan Zimmermann   WAS

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. COL

vs. CHC

 

Yohan Flande   COL

Jake Arrieta   CHC

Anibal Sanchez   DET

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

vs. OAK

vs. TB

 

Scott Kazmir   OAK

Chris Archer   TB

Corey Kluber   CLE

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ LAD

vs. KC

 

Dan Haren   LAD

Danny Duffy   KC

Josh Beckett   LAD

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. CLE

@ COL

 

Justin Masterson   CLE

Christian Friedrich   COL

I would have no hesitation about starting any of these seven pitchers in either or both of their scheduled starts. I am not especially fond of the uptrend in walks that Richards is demonstrating, but I have to confess that I missed the boat on him entirely and am missing out on some excellent SP numbers as a result.

 

Maybe Yes, Maybe No

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent

Second Start/Opponent

Henderson Alvarez   MIA

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. PHI

@ STL

 

A.J. Burnett   PHI

TBA

Jake Arrieta   CHC

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ BOS

@ WAS

 

Jake Peavy   BOS

Jordan Zimmermann   WAS

Rick Porcello   DET

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. OAK

vs. TB

 

Brad Mills   OAK

David Price   TB

Jesse Hahn   SD

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. CIN

vs. SF

 

Mat Latos   CIN

Tim Lincecum   SF

Alex Wood   ATL

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. NYM

vs. ARI

 

Zack Wheeler   NYM

Wade Miley   ARI

Mat Latos   CIN

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ SD

vs. MIL

 

Jesse Hahn   SD

Yovani Gallardo   MIL

Jarred Cosart   HOU

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. SEA

@ LAA

 

Hisashi Iwakuma   SEA

Jered Weaver   LAA

Jered Weaver   LAA

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ CHW

vs. HOU

 

Scott Carroll   CHW

Jarred Cosart   HOU

Brad Mills   OAK

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ DET

vs. TOR

 

Rick Porcello   DET

Drew Hutchison   TOR

A.J. Burnett   PHI

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ MIA

@ PIT

 

Henderson Alvarez   MIA

Edinson Volquez   PIT

Collin McHugh   HOU

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

vs. SEA

@ LAA

 

TBA

Garrett Richards   LAA

Danny Duffy   KC

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ MIN

@ CLE

 

Yohan Pino   MIN

Corey Kluber   CLE

Chris Archer   TB

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

@ NYY

@ DET

 

David Phelps   NYY

Anibal Sanchez   DET

Dan Haren   LAD

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

vs. CLE

@ COL

 

Corey Kluber   CLE

Yohan Flande   COL

Zack Wheeler   NYM

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ ATL

vs. TEX

 

Alex Wood   ATL

Nick Martinez P  TEX

Wade Miley   ARI

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ PIT

@ ATL

 

Jeff Locke   PIT

Alex Wood   ATL

Hiroki Kuroda   NYY

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. TB

@ MIN

 

David Price   TB

Ricky Nolasco   MIN

Tim Lincecum   SF

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. STL

@ SD

 

TBA

Jesse Hahn   SD

Hector Noesi   CHW

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. LAA

vs. SEA

 

Garrett Richards   LAA

TBA

Ubaldo Jimenez   BAL

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. TEX

@ BOS

 

Joe Saunders   TEX

Jake Peavy   BOS

The first of the three sub-tiers in this group begins with Alvarez and runs through Weaver. Alvarez has been a superb SP option, having yielded only four earned runs in his last seven starts, and limiting free passes while also providing modest yet consistent strikeouts. Arrieta has been just as a much a superstar SP, aside from a stumble against the Giants on May 27. Plus, he is racking up Ks at a rate better than a strikeout per inning. Porcello secured his tenth win on the season Thursday by twirling a complete game shutout, and while he is still a predominantly a ground ball pitcher, he does provide a handful of strikeouts per start. Hahn should see his ownership percentage rise if he continues to win while generating strikeouts at a rate not expected of a ground ball inducer. He does pitch at Petco for his home starts, but unfortunately, that also means his offense consists of Padre hitters. Take the good with the bad. Wood and Latos are welcome additions to their team's rotation, with Latos coming back from an injury and Wood returning from a bullpen stint. Both look to stay in their current starting role for the foreseeable future, and while I like Wood's matchups slightly better, I would not hesitate to start Latos against the Brewers, either. Cosart has been very effective, racking up four consecutive wins, but while he can occasionally give you a good number of Ks, that should not be why you use him. Instead. look for a QS or W when he takes the mound. Weaver is good, not great, and to his credit, is coming off two strong starts. His control is back, but the strikeouts are just mediocre.

The middle sub-tier starts with Mills, who despite not having a big sample size, has been added to the Oakland rotation, which is a good sign in my book. The Athletics saw something they liked about the lefty and thus acquired him from the Brewers to add to their rotation and according to his manager, he is not leaving there soon. The sub-tier continues with Burnett and ends with Duffy. Burnett has shaken off his doldrums, and is pitching deeper into games, providing a consistent source of QS and the occasional standout strikeout performance. McHugh continues to impress in the Astro rotation, racking up the Ks but also, alas, allowing too many free passes to opposing hitters. If he can harness his control, he becomes a much more valuable SP. Duffy has been an effective pitcher for three starts now. This is a tendency with him, though, as he is prone to bouts of wildness, as well as useful bouts of good strikeout numbers. He has been better on the road lately, so this is a good week to take him out for a spin.

The bottom sub-tier is not inspiring, but does have some decent options. Archer, Haren and Wheeler have all demonstrated the talent to succeed, but not lately. None have superb matchups this week, so use them with caution. Heck, use all the bottom sub-tier with caution. Miley recently said he is putting too much pressure on himself, which doesn't sound good for his immediate future success. He does have some attraction as strikeout source, but the peripherals are deadly. There is nothing wrong with Kuroda, he is just pitching like himself. Without a strong team backing him, though, he is just not exciting. This week's matchups are promising, though. I know Lincecum just no-hit the Padres, but put this in perspective: it was the Padres lineup that he held hitless. Aside from his gem on Wednesday last, he has been up and down and I am not willing to gamble on the up days to accept the down days. Noesi has corralled his control issues, but that apparently comes at the cost of not striking out batters with regularity. With Jimenez, if he is striking out hitters, he is on his game and usable. Unfortunately, he frequently is just too wild and hands out walks in bunches, making him a true gamble of a pitcher. Plus, I still question his decision to sign with Baltimore and agree to pitch in a park that does nothing to aid him.

Not On My Roster

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent

Second Start/Opponent

Jake Peavy   BOS

6/30/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. CHC

vs. BAL

 

Jake Arrieta   CHC

Ubaldo Jimenez   BAL

Justin Masterson   CLE

7/1/2014

7/5/2014

 

@ LAD

vs. KC

 

Josh Beckett   LAD

Jeremy Guthrie   KC

Drew Hutchison   TOR

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. MIL

@ OAK

 

Marco Estrada   MIL

Brad Mills   OAK

David Phelps   NYY

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

vs. TB

@ MIN

 

Chris Archer   TB

Yohan Pino   MIN

Ricky Nolasco   MIN

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

vs. KC

vs. NYY

 

James Shields   KC

Hiroki Kuroda   NYY

Yohan Pino   MIN

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

vs. KC

vs. NYY

 

Danny Duffy   KC

David Phelps   NYY

Joe Saunders   TEX

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

@ BAL

@ NYM

 

Ubaldo Jimenez   BAL

Bartolo Colon   NYM

Nick Martinez P  TEX

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ BAL

@ NYM

 

TBA

Zack Wheeler   NYM

Yohan Flande   COL

6/30/2014

7/5/2014

 

@ WAS

vs. LAD

 

Jordan Zimmermann   WAS

Dan Haren   LAD

Christian Friedrich   COL

7/1/2014

7/6/2014

 

@ WAS

vs. LAD

 

Stephen Strasburg   WAS

Josh Beckett   LAD

I wouldn't use any of these pitchers, two starts or not, on my teams. Either because of a lack of track record (Pino, Flande), or more detrimentally, a case of inconsistency, none of them inspire me to roll them out for a start. If you are extraordinarily desperate for a two-start option; then the top five could be worth a shot, but only if you cannot get by otherwise.

Should you have questions regarding fantasy baseball, especially starting pitching, you can reach me at ia@fantasyalarm.com to continue the discussion.




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About Ivar G. Anderson

I have actively played fantasy sports since 2004, when I was roped into competing in an auto-pick football league on Yahoo. My devotion, and number of teams has continued to grow to the present. I began writing about fantasy sports for FantasyGameday in 2008, and was recruited to join the FantasyAlarm team in 2011, where I cover Starting Pitching on the baseball side of things, and publish a weekly IDP Report and NFL Weather Report weekly during the football season. I can be reached by e-mail at: ia@fantasyalarm.com and my Twitter handle is: @johnwhorfin

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