Sunday brings a second-straight one-mile track in the form of Dover International Speedway and the Monster Mile. Dover is known for being a tough track to make it around but not because for the same reason as Loudon. It is known for having faster speeds than the other tracks at this distance, New Hampshire and Phoenix, due to the steep banking of 24 degrees in the turns, which also leads to potentially big crashes. The Citizen Soldier 400 is also a cut down race for the Chase as four drivers will get eliminated at the conclusion of the race.
Track Data Breakdown
Avg. | Avg. | Laps | High | Low | Avg. | Diff | Laps Led | Laps Led | ||||||||
Driver | Start | Finish | Races | Wins | Top 5's | Top 10's | Top 20's | Led | Poles | Finish | Finish | DNF | Rating | Pts. | Pts. | Pts./race |
Jimmie Johnson | 10.4 | 14.2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 299 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 107.4 | -3.8 | 74.75 | 14.95 |
Matt Kenseth | 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 93 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 110.6 | -1 | 23.25 | 4.65 |
Kevin Harvick | 6.2 | 9.6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 810 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 123.5 | -3.4 | 202.5 | 40.50 |
Jeff Gordon | 11 | 9.5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 94 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 106.2 | 1.5 | 23.5 | 5.88 |
Kyle Larson | 11.4 | 6.2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 99.3 | 5.2 | 21.25 | 4.25 |
Brad Keselowski | 9.2 | 7.6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 156 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 100.9 | 1.6 | 39 | 7.80 |
Kasey Kahne | 16.4 | 10.6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 90.6 | 5.8 | 0 | 0.00 |
Aric Almirola | 20.4 | 16.2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 75.7 | 4.2 | 0 | 0.00 |
Clint Bowyer | 17.4 | 9.6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 90 | 7.8 | 1.75 | 0.35 |
Joey Logano | 10 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 96.5 | -1 | 0.5 | 0.10 |
Denny Hamlin | 3.8 | 12.6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 133 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 96.3 | -8.8 | 33.25 | 6.65 |
Jamie McMurray | 14 | 13.4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 80.5 | 0.6 | 0.25 | 0.05 |
Kyle Busch | 6 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 107 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 3 | 99.1 | -18 | 26.75 | 5.35 |
Kurt Busch | 15 | 17.8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 89.6 | -2.8 | 0 | 0.00 |
Chase Elliott | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 96.7 | 10 | 0 | 0.00 |
Martin Truex Jr. | 12 | 7.8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 178 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 102.1 | 4.2 | 44.5 | 8.90 |
Paul Menard | 17 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 77.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.00 |
Ryan Newman | 13 | 18.4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 75 | -5.4 | 0 | 0.00 |
Tony Stewart | 24 | 19.4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 72.2 | 4.6 | 0 | 0.00 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.2 | 23.8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 66.3 | -5.6 | 0 | 0.00 |
Ryan Blaney | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 84.8 | 10 | 0 | 0.00 |
Trevor Bayne | 28.3 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 0 | 50.5 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.00 |
Carl Edwards | 12.4 | 17.4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 91.2 | -5 | 7.75 | 1.55 |
Greg Biffle | 16.4 | 23.6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 1 | 70.4 | -7.2 | 1.5 | 0.30 |
Danica Patrick | 25.8 | 19.4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 0 | 61.1 | 6.4 | 0 | 0.00 |
David Ragan | 28.2 | 23.8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 36 | 0 | 53.4 | 4.4 | 0 | 0.00 |
Austin Dillon | 15.6 | 26.6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 33 | 0 | 69.4 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 |
Chris Buescher | 30 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 48.6 | 12 | 0 | 0.00 |
Michael McDowell | 28 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 46.7 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 |
Landon Cassill | 36.6 | 30.2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 40 | 1 | 39.5 | 6.4 | 0 | 0.00 |
A.J. Allmendinger | 22.2 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 29 | 0 | 60.3 | -1.8 | 0 | 0.00 |
Casey Mears | 24.2 | 25.8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 0 | 56.1 | -1.6 | 0 | 0.00 |
Brian Scott | 22 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 38 | 1 | 53.5 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 |
Cole Whitt | 32.8 | 27.6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 45.1 | 5.2 | 0 | 0.00 |
Michael Annett | 36.6 | 38.2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 41 | 2 | 41 | -1.6 | 0 | 0.00 |
Reed Sorenson | 37.3 | 31.75 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 38 | 1 | 39.3 | 5.55 | 0 | 0.00 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 34 | 35.33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 40 | 1 | 36 | -1.33 | 0 | 0.00 |
Josh Wise | 37 | 36.4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 42 | 2 | 35.4 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.00 |
Regan Smith | 33 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 39 | 1 | 31.1 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 |
Jeffrey Earnhardt | 39 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29.5 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 |
Ty Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Timmy Hill | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Key Drivers on 1-Mile Tracks
Avg. | Avg. | Laps | High | Low | Diff | Laps Led | Laps Led | |||||||||
Driver | Start | Finish | Races | Wins | Top 5's | Top 10's | Top 20's | Led | Poles | Finish | Finish | DNF | Rating | Pts. | Pts. | Pts./race |
Kevin Harvick | 8.1 | 7.25 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 2,191 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 128.3 | 0.85 | 547.75 | 34.23 |
Matt Kenseth | 10.8 | 8.53 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 275 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 109.1 | 2.27 | 68.75 | 4.58 |
Jimmie Johnson | 7.6 | 14.88 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 344 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 2 | 95.9 | -7.28 | 86 | 5.38 |
Brad Keselowski | 8.4 | 8.13 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 538 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 107.3 | 0.27 | 134.5 | 8.41 |
Joey Logano | 7.8 | 9.75 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 213 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 103.2 | -1.95 | 53.25 | 3.33 |
Kyle Busch | 6.3 | 15.33 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 477 | 2 | 1 | 42 | 3 | 105.7 | -9.03 | 119.25 | 7.95 |
Jeff Gordon | 12.2 | 10.67 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 123 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 101.5 | 1.53 | 30.75 | 2.56 |
Kyle Larson | 10.4 | 11.69 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 99 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 89.7 | -1.29 | 24.75 | 1.55 |
Denny Hamlin | 6.4 | 12.88 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 235 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 95.1 | -6.48 | 58.75 | 3.67 |
Kurt Busch | 10.5 | 16.38 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 92.4 | -5.88 | 0.25 | 0.02 |
Jamie McMurray | 11.6 | 13.06 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 87 | -1.46 | 0.5 | 0.03 |
Kasey Kahne | 14.1 | 14.56 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 84.8 | -0.46 | 0 | 0.00 |
Ryan Newman | 15.2 | 14.63 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 80.6 | 0.57 | 1.5 | 0.09 |
Carl Edwards | 9.3 | 12.81 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 166 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 95.7 | -3.51 | 41.5 | 2.59 |
Aric Almirola | 20.8 | 17.44 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 2 | 73.4 | 3.36 | 0 | 0.00 |
Drivers to watch this week
Kevin Harvick: Harvick has been on this list a lot but it’s for good reason. He is coming off a win at NHMS last week and is still the most dominant driver at this distance in terms of wins, top-fives, top-10s, and laps led, where he leads by more than 1,600 laps over the next closest driver. At Dover, Harvick has a win and two top-fives and an average finish in the top-10 in the last five races here with 810 laps led. He should be at the top of the list for any formats lineup.
Kyle Larson: Larson is hanging onto the 12th spot in the Chase at the moment, five points ahead of Jamie McMurray, but heads to Dover as the better of the two drivers. Larson has a solid +5.2 positional differential but also has two top-five finishes and could be a sneaky pick for another finish of that ilk on Sunday. He is a bit pricey at $9,900 this week, but he can still be worked into lineups fairly well.
Jimmie Johnson: J.J. has had a bit of a rough patch this season after showing his normal form in the early part of the year. However now he comes to a track that has seen him win twice in the last five with the most recent coming in May of 2015. Since then he has finished 41st and 25th in the last two races respectively at the Monster Mile. He remains more of a GPP play than a cash lineup choice, but at $9,300 he can easily be fit into either format.
Chase Elliot: Elliot may have only one race under his belt at Dover in the Sprint Cup car, but that didn’t stop him from finishing top-three in May. He has been the top rookie on the track every week and that shouldn’t be any different this Sunday at Dover. He consistently puts up 40+ points each week and has the upside to produce into the 80-point range like he did at Chicago two weeks ago. Elliot is securely into the next round of the Chase but that doesn’t mean that a high finish can’t boost him into the round of eight. His $8,900 price tag gets you a potentially elite point scorer at a mid-tier price,
Clint Bowyer: Bowyer is my sleeper pick for Sunday. He owns the third-best positional differential at +7.8 in the last five races and averages a top-10 finish on the track. He has a top-five and three top-10s since 2014 at Dover and hasn’t finished worse than 14th in that span. $7,100 is a solid price to pay for a guy that could put up 40+ points at the Monster Mile.