Fantasy Baseball Category Impact: May 3
Colby Conway
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Luis Severino allowed four runs (three earned), five hits and two walks with four strikeouts over six innings in Tuesday’s 4-1 loss to Baltimore.

Severino has definitely been better than his 6.31 ERA suggests. He has a better than average walk rate and a ground ball rate over 50 percent, so there’s things to like, and that’s why his xFIP is 3.60. The strikeouts aren’t there which limits his value even when his BABIP and strand rate correct a bit, but better days should be ahead nonetheless. He’ll go again on Sunday in a tough matchup with Boston.
5 minutes ago

Darren O’Day recorded his second save of the season in Tuesday’s 4-1 win over the Yankees allowing one hit.

Zach Britton is dealing with an ankle injury, so O’Day picked up the save in his absence. For now it seems like Britton will not require a DL stint, so O’Day should see any save opportunities in the short term, but Britton should be back on the mound in the ninth sooner rather than later.
6 minutes ago

Mark Trumbo went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI in Tuesday’s 4-1 win over the Yankees.

Those are home runs numbers seven and eight for Trumbo. He’ll need to keep hitting bombs at a good clip because his .403 BABIP will eventually fall and his .337 average along with it thanks to a typically high strikeout rate. He’ll face CC Sabathia on Wednesday against whom he is 5-for-16 lifetime with a home run.
9 minutes ago

Chris Tillman allowed one run, five hits and four walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in Tuesday’s 4-1 win over the Yankees.

Tillman is on a nice little roll through six starts with a 2.81 ERA. There’s some things to be worried about like his walk rate still being higher than average and the fact that he has allowed only one home run so far when he typically allows home runs at an above average rate. But the strikeouts are there and the jump in that stat is backed up by a higher swinging strike rate. He’ll go again on Sunday against Oakland.
9 minutes ago

Francisco Lindor went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs and three RBI in Tuesday’s 7-3 win over Detroit.

With the two extra-base hits on Tuesday, Lindor now has seven on the season. His ISO is almost 50 points lower than what it was in his rookie season, and he needs a bit more power to really be a fantasy stud. He makes a lot of contact, and he appears to be a guy who’s going to sustain a higher-than-normal BABIP, but he may just be an average/speed guy. He’ll see Anibal Sanchez on Wednesday whom he has only faced twice.
11 minutes ago

Mike Napoli went 1-for-3 with a double, a walk, a run scored and two RBI in Tuesday’s 7-3 win over Detroit.

When Napoli gets a start against a right-hander he’s not really a great option. He’s been a below average hitters so far overall, but he’s been above average against lefties as you would expect. The Indians will face right-handed Anibal Sanchez on Wednesday.
11 minutes ago

Josh Tomlin allowed two runs and nine hits with five strikeouts over six innings in Tuesday’s 7-3 win over Detroit.

Through four starts Tomlin has been extremely stingy with the walks, which we’ve come to expect. The problem is that his strikeout rate is down about five percentage points from where it was last year. He’s still very useful with a lower strikeout rate, but it limits his fantasy upside a bit. He’ll face a Kansas City team on Sunday that tends to make a lot of contact.
12 minutes ago